Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osorio
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
14 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Emma …: 59,8% Camila …: 40,2%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emma … Camila … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,35 3,30 74,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,67 2,49 59,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Emma …: -16,4% Camila …: +16,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Raducanu
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Camila Osorio
Ranking #84
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/24 = 45,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 47,0000
rank_ratio 2,6207
log_rank_ratio 0,9634
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 703,0000
best_rank_diff 23,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,8333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,5084
surface_matches_ratio 1,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,6667
surface_wr_p2 45,8333
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,8824
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,4286
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,8575
first_serve_won_diff 4,2917
second_serve_won_diff -4,0167
bp_saved_diff 7,8417
bp_converted_diff 9,6500
aces_per_match_diff 1,9583
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,2650
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7172
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5152
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3178
serve_consistency_p2 3,0660
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,4372
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0197
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0053
elite_surface_amplifier 10,8333
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5400
utr_p2 0,5400
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22291
API ID 15340370
Gamdom ID 586925
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22291,
    "api_id": 15340370,
    "gamdom_id": 586925,
    "player1": "Emma Raducanu",
    "player2": "Camila Osorio",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.35,
      "p2": 3.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.37
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5984,
    "prob_p2": 0.4016,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5984,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 12.59,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.59,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.54,
    "utr_p2": 0.54,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.6206896551724137,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 703,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.8416666666666615,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -6.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.83333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 23,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.963437510299857,
    "rank_advantage": 47,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.833333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.649999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.857499999999995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7171717171717171,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9583333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.291666666666664,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.317825369761755,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.0660135201632683,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.437239694915121,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.42857142857143,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.016666666666666,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.265000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 10.833333333333336,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.01966666666666672,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.00533333333333319,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.508403361344536,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}