Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osorio
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
14 Ene 2026, 06:20
14 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Emma …: 59,8%
Camila …: 40,2%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emma … | Camila … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,35 | 3,30 | 74,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,67 | 2,49 | 59,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Emma …: -16,4%
Camila …: +16,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Raducanu
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Camila Osorio
Ranking
#84
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/24 = 45,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,6207 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9634 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 703,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 23,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,5084 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,8575 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,2917 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,0167 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,8417 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,6500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9583 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,2650 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7172 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5152 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3178 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,0660 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,4372 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0197 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0053 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 10,8333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22291
API ID
15340370
Gamdom ID
586925
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22291,
"api_id": 15340370,
"gamdom_id": 586925,
"player1": "Emma Raducanu",
"player2": "Camila Osorio",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-14T02:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.35,
"p2": 3.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.37
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5984,
"prob_p2": 0.4016,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5984,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.59,
"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.54,
"utr_p2": 0.54,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.6206896551724137,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 703,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.8416666666666615,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -6.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.83333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 23,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.963437510299857,
"rank_advantage": 47,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.833333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.649999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.857499999999995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7171717171717171,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9583333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.291666666666664,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.317825369761755,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.0660135201632683,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.437239694915121,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.42857142857143,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.016666666666666,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.265000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 10.833333333333336,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.01966666666666672,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.00533333333333319,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.508403361344536,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}