Iva Jovic vs Janice Tjen
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 51,8%
Janice …: 48,2%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,29
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iva … | Janice … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,62 | 2,38 | 61,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,93 | 2,07 | 51,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iva …: -0,8%
Janice …: +0,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Janice Tjen
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
6/9 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 19,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4336 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 348,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,5088 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,6224 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,0513 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,3442 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8421 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,4200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8182 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8607 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2509 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,5215 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1126 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1857 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -3,5088 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22292
API ID
15340365
Gamdom ID
586921
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22292,
"api_id": 15340365,
"gamdom_id": 586921,
"player1": "Iva Jovic",
"player2": "Janice Tjen",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.38
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.518,
"prob_p2": 0.482,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.518,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 59,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 43,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.29,
"ranking": 43,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.542857142857143,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 348,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.600000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.43363598507486073,
"rank_advantage": 19,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.5087719298245545,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.799999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.344210526315791,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8421052631578947,
"combined_confidence": 0.5266666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.860725799411923,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.25085556809053,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.5215297721924907,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.05128205128205,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.29999999999999716,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.111111111111111,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.419999999999987,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -3.5087719298245545,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.112578947368421,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18566666666666654,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.6223708658491227,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}