Iva Jovic vs Janice Tjen
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 51,8% Janice …: 48,2%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,29 — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Janice … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,62 2,38 61,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,93 2,07 51,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: -0,8% Janice …: +0,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Janice Tjen
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #43
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 6/9 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 19,0000
rank_ratio 1,5429
log_rank_ratio 0,4336
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 348,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,5088
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,6224
surface_matches_ratio 2,1111
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,0513
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,5267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,3442
first_serve_won_diff -7,5000
second_serve_won_diff 0,3000
bp_saved_diff 12,6000
bp_converted_diff 6,8000
aces_per_match_diff -1,8421
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 25,4200
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8182
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 7,8607
serve_consistency_p2 4,2509
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,5215
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1126
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1857
elite_surface_amplifier -3,5088
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,5094
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22292
API ID 15340365
Gamdom ID 586921
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22292,
    "api_id": 15340365,
    "gamdom_id": 586921,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Janice Tjen",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.518,
    "prob_p2": 0.482,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.518,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 43,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.29,
      "ranking": 43,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.542857142857143,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 348,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.600000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 20,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.43363598507486073,
    "rank_advantage": 19,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.5087719298245545,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.799999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.344210526315791,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8421052631578947,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5266666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.860725799411923,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.25085556809053,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.5215297721924907,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.05128205128205,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.29999999999999716,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.111111111111111,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.419999999999987,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -3.5087719298245545,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.112578947368421,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18566666666666654,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.6223708658491227,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}