Olga Danilovic vs McCartney Kessler
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
McCartney Kessler
Olga …: 24,3% McCartney …: 75,6%
¿Por qué McCartney Kessler?
UTR 12,27 vs 12,39 (-0,12) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Olga … McCartney … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
Gamdom 3,35 1,35 29,9%
IA Fair Odds 4,11 1,32 24,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Olga …: -12,0% McCartney …: +12,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Olga Danilovic
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 12,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
McCartney Kessler
Ranking #37
UTR Rating 12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 27/42 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -36,0000
rank_ratio 0,4627
log_rank_ratio -0,7707
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -596,0000
best_rank_diff -2,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -20,5357
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,8333
surface_matches_ratio 0,3810
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,7500
surface_wr_p2 64,2857
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,0435
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 42,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,5465
first_serve_won_diff -0,7625
second_serve_won_diff 1,5250
bp_saved_diff 3,0250
bp_converted_diff -2,5000
aces_per_match_diff 1,2351
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,8790
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 86,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8450
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7901
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 9,6549
serve_consistency_p2 6,9245
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,8270
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0265
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1069
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1200
utr_p1 0,5035
utr_p2 0,5176
utr_advantage -0,9724
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22293
API ID 15340360
Gamdom ID 586923
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22293,
    "api_id": 15340360,
    "gamdom_id": 586923,
    "player1": "Olga Danilovic",
    "player2": "McCartney Kessler",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T07:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.35,
      "p2": 1.35
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.2,
      "p2": 1.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2435,
    "prob_p2": 0.7565,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7565,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 12.27,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 37,
      "utr_singles": 12.39,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.27,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.39,
      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5035294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.5176470588235295,
    "utr_diff": -0.120000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4626865671641791,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -596,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.0249999999999915,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.28571428571429,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9724473257698621,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -2,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7707054149058198,
    "rank_advantage": -36,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -20.535714285714292,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.5464880952380966,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8449612403100775,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7901234567901234,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2351190476190477,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.7625000000000028,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.654920425489923,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.924473828457554,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.826986198958803,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.04347826086957,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.5249999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.38095238095238093,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.879000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 86,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.026499999999999968,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10685714285714287,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.833333333333336,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}