Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikova
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Barbora Krejcikova
Peyton …: 24,2% Barbora …: 75,8%
¿Por qué Barbora Krejcikova?
UTR 12,07 vs 12,41 (-0,27) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Peyton … Barbora … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,20 1,36 31,3%
Gamdom 3,20 1,38 31,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,14 1,32 24,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Peyton …: -5,7% Barbora …: +5,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peyton Stearns
Ranking #68
UTR Rating 12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 10/25 = 40,0%
Barbora Krejcikova
Ranking #58
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #31
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -1,0000
rank_ratio 0,9844
log_rank_ratio -0,0157
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -8,0000
best_rank_diff -26,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -24,7059
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,3678
surface_matches_ratio 1,4706
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 64,7059
surface_wr_p1_stable 41,3793
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,9048
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,7000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,6009
first_serve_won_diff -5,8899
second_serve_won_diff -4,1238
bp_saved_diff 1,4720
bp_converted_diff 3,4066
aces_per_match_diff -0,2094
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -37,8750
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8148
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7669
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,2818
serve_consistency_p2 11,3328
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3891
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0990
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1461
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2700
utr_p1 0,4882
utr_p2 0,5200
utr_advantage -2,1978
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22294
API ID 15340361
Gamdom ID 586917
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22294,
    "api_id": 15340361,
    "gamdom_id": 586917,
    "player1": "Peyton Stearns",
    "player2": "Barbora Krejcikova",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.2,
      "p2": 1.3599999999999999
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.2,
      "p2": 1.38
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.1,
      "p2": 1.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2417,
    "prob_p2": 0.7583,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7583,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": 12.07,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 58,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 31,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.07,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 31,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.52,
    "utr_diff": -0.2699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.984375,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -8,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.4719999999999942,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
    "utr_advantage": -2.197802197802194,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -26,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.015748356968139168,
    "rank_advantage": -1,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -24.705882352941174,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.406588235294116,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.600894117647059,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8148148148148148,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7668711656441718,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.2094117647058824,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.889882352941179,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.281808303208892,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.332752678576114,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.3890770545069676,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.37931034482759,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.123764705882358,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4705882352941178,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -37.875000000000014,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09899999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14605882352941169,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.36781609195402,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}