Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikova
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 05:10
13 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Barbora Krejcikova
Peyton …: 24,2%
Barbora …: 75,8%
¿Por qué Barbora Krejcikova?
UTR 12,07 vs 12,41
(-0,27)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Peyton … | Barbora … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,20 | 1,36 | 31,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,20 | 1,38 | 31,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,14 | 1,32 | 24,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Peyton …: -5,7%
Barbora …: +5,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#68
UTR Rating
12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
10/25 = 40,0%
Barbora Krejcikova
Ranking
#58
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#31
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9844 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0157 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -8,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -26,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -24,7059 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,3678 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4706 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,6009 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,8899 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,1238 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,4720 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,4066 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2094 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -37,8750 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8148 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7669 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,2818 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,3328 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3891 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0990 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1461 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5200 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,1978 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22294
API ID
15340361
Gamdom ID
586917
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22294,
"api_id": 15340361,
"gamdom_id": 586917,
"player1": "Peyton Stearns",
"player2": "Barbora Krejcikova",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.2,
"p2": 1.3599999999999999
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.2,
"p2": 1.38
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.1,
"p2": 1.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2417,
"prob_p2": 0.7583,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7583,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 58,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 31,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 31,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.52,
"utr_diff": -0.2699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.984375,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -8,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.4719999999999942,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -42.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
"utr_advantage": -2.197802197802194,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -26,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.015748356968139168,
"rank_advantage": -1,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -24.705882352941174,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.406588235294116,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.600894117647059,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8148148148148148,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7668711656441718,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.2094117647058824,
"combined_confidence": 0.7,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.889882352941179,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.281808303208892,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.332752678576114,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.3890770545069676,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.37931034482759,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.123764705882358,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4705882352941178,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -37.875000000000014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09899999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14605882352941169,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.36781609195402,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}