Rebecca Sramkova vs Varvara Gracheva
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 04:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Varvara Gracheva
Rebecca …: 35,2% Varvara …: 64,8%
¿Por qué Varvara Gracheva?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,08 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rebecca … Varvara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,76 2,12 56,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,84 1,54 35,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Rebecca …: -14,8% Varvara …: +14,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking #73
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #101
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/36 = 41,7%
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking #77
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 4,0000
rank_ratio 1,0563
log_rank_ratio 0,0548
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 27,0000
best_rank_diff 6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,5833
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,0556
surface_matches_ratio 1,1250
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,3640
first_serve_won_diff 0,6979
second_serve_won_diff -2,8667
bp_saved_diff 2,1677
bp_converted_diff -4,5427
aces_per_match_diff 0,9375
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,8200
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4038
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5867
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2727
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2000
serve_consistency_p1 13,3587
serve_consistency_p2 11,0547
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7993
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0873
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0665
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,4694
utr_p2 0,4788
utr_advantage -0,6650
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22295
API ID 15340368
Gamdom ID 586926
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22295,
    "api_id": 15340368,
    "gamdom_id": 586926,
    "player1": "Rebecca Sramkova",
    "player2": "Varvara Gracheva",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T00:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.76,
      "p2": 2.12
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.352,
    "prob_p2": 0.648,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.648,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 73,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 101,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 77,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 101,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.47882352941176476,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.056338028169014,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 27,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.167708333333337,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6650041562759773,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 6,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.05480823649499495,
    "rank_advantage": 4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.583333333333329,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.542708333333337,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.3639583333333292,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40384615384615385,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5866666666666667,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9375,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.6979166666666643,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.358659570654238,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.054685703306221,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7992867822186761,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.866666666666667,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.820000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08733333333333326,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0665,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.055555555555557,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}