Rebecca Sramkova vs Varvara Gracheva
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 04:15
13 Ene 2026, 04:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Varvara Gracheva
Rebecca …: 35,2%
Varvara …: 64,8%
¿Por qué Varvara Gracheva?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,08
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rebecca … | Varvara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,76 | 2,12 | 56,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,84 | 1,54 | 35,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rebecca …: -14,8%
Varvara …: +14,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#101
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0563 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0548 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 27,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,5833 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,0556 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,3640 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,6979 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,8667 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,1677 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,5427 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9375 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,8200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4038 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5867 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2727 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,3587 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0547 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7993 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0873 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0665 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4788 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6650 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22295
API ID
15340368
Gamdom ID
586926
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22295,
"api_id": 15340368,
"gamdom_id": 586926,
"player1": "Rebecca Sramkova",
"player2": "Varvara Gracheva",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T00:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.76,
"p2": 2.12
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.352,
"prob_p2": 0.648,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.648,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 101,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 101,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.08,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.47882352941176476,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.056338028169014,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 27,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.167708333333337,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
"utr_advantage": -0.6650041562759773,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 6,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.05480823649499495,
"rank_advantage": 4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.583333333333329,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.542708333333337,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.3639583333333292,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40384615384615385,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5866666666666667,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9375,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.6979166666666643,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.358659570654238,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.054685703306221,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7992867822186761,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.866666666666667,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.820000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08733333333333326,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0665,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.055555555555557,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}