Tatjana Maria vs Venus Williams
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 07:50
13 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatjana Maria
Tatjana …: 80,1%
Venus …: 19,9%
¿Por qué Tatjana Maria?
UTR 11,90 vs 11,62
(+0,10)
— Niveles similares
Tatjana …
Sin datos
Venus …
W1-L3
25% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L3
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tatjana … | Venus … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,48 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,25 | 5,03 | 80,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tatjana …: +14,5%
Venus …: -14,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatjana Maria
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#131
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
9/27 = 33,3%
Venus Williams
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tatjana Maria
Sin datos UTR v4
Venus Williams
Record 2025
1W - 3L (25%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
12,3
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 457,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 11,6279 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,4534 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1229,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 464,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,4366 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 6,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35,4839 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,7663 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,6481 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,2519 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,2074 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,2741 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,0926 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,6630 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5652 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7836 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8930 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,4451 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,6237 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2070 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 25,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8410 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22296
API ID
15340363
Gamdom ID
586920
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22296,
"api_id": 15340363,
"gamdom_id": 586920,
"player1": "Tatjana Maria",
"player2": "Venus Williams",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T03:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.51
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8011,
"prob_p2": 0.1989,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8011,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 131,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.62,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 1,
"utr_v4_losses": 3,
"utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.26,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.57,
"opponent_name": "Karolina Muchova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.27,
"opponent_name": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.05,
"opponent_name": "Magdalena Frech"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.15,
"opponent_name": "Peyton Stearns"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.364977+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 131,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.62,
"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4517647058823529,
"utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 11.627906976744185,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 1229,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.207407407407402,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.8410428931875497,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 464,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.4534079827286295,
"rank_advantage": 457,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.333333333333329,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.274074074074079,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.7662962962963036,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9166666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.09259259259259256,
"combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.6481481481481453,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.783551237005222,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.892980964463547,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.445066522738568,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.483870967741936,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.25185185185186,
"surface_matches_ratio": 6.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.663000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 24.999999999999986,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.6236666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20699999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.4365591397849466,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}