Tatjana Maria vs Venus Williams
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatjana Maria
Tatjana …: 80,1% Venus …: 19,9%
¿Por qué Tatjana Maria?
UTR 11,90 vs 11,62 (+0,10) — Niveles similares
Tatjana …
Sin datos
Venus …
W1-L3
25% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L3
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tatjana … Venus … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,57 2,48 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 5,03 80,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Tatjana …: +14,5% Venus …: -14,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatjana Maria
Ranking #42
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #131
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 9/27 = 33,3%
Venus Williams
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tatjana Maria
Sin datos UTR v4
Venus Williams
Record 2025 1W - 3L (25%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 457,0000
rank_ratio 11,6279
log_rank_ratio 2,4534
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1229,0000
best_rank_diff 464,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,4366
surface_matches_ratio 6,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 35,4839
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,0000
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,6267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,7663
first_serve_won_diff -3,6481
second_serve_won_diff 9,2519
bp_saved_diff 8,2074
bp_converted_diff -3,2741
aces_per_match_diff -0,0926
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,6630
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5652
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9167
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,7836
serve_consistency_p2 8,8930
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20,4451
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,6237
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2070
elite_surface_amplifier 25,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1000
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4518
utr_advantage 0,8410
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22296
API ID 15340363
Gamdom ID 586920
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22296,
    "api_id": 15340363,
    "gamdom_id": 586920,
    "player1": "Tatjana Maria",
    "player2": "Venus Williams",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8011,
    "prob_p2": 0.1989,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8011,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 42,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 131,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.62,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 1,
      "utr_v4_losses": 3,
      "utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.26,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.57,
          "opponent_name": "Karolina Muchova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.27,
          "opponent_name": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.05,
          "opponent_name": "Magdalena Frech"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.15,
          "opponent_name": "Peyton Stearns"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.364977+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 131,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.62,
      "ranking": 156,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 11.627906976744185,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 1229,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.207407407407402,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.8410428931875497,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 464,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.4534079827286295,
    "rank_advantage": 457,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.333333333333329,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.274074074074079,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.7662962962963036,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9166666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.09259259259259256,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.6481481481481453,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.783551237005222,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.892980964463547,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 20.445066522738568,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.483870967741936,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.25185185185186,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.663000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 24.999999999999986,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.6236666666666667,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20699999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.4365591397849466,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}