Taylah Preston vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 05:00
12 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Taylah …: 28,1%
Jessica …: 71,9%
¿Por qué Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
UTR 11,50 vs 12,24
(-0,85)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Taylah … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,28 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 4,00 | 1,26 | 25,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,55 | 1,39 | 28,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Taylah …: +2,7%
Jessica …: -2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylah Preston
Ranking
#161
UTR Rating
11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#275
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
3/6 = 50,0%
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
12,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#56
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -163,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2049 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,5853 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -881,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -94,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,6129 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,6143 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1935 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,5138 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,2968 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,6419 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,5613 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4624 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,4550 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6848 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,8902 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4405 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,5570 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1630 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1791 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5024 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,1760 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22297
API ID
15340366
Gamdom ID
586918
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22297,
"api_id": 15340366,
"gamdom_id": 586918,
"player1": "Taylah Preston",
"player2": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.28
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.26
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.86,
"p2": 1.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2814,
"prob_p2": 0.7186,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7186,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 161,
"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 275,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 40,
"utr_singles": 12.24,
"utr_ranking": 56,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.5,
"ranking": 275,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.24,
"ranking": 56,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.5023529411764706,
"utr_diff": -0.8499999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.2048780487804878,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -881,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.6419354838709594,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -10.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
"utr_advantage": -7.176023638666101,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -94,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.58534036085504,
"rank_advantage": -163,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.6129032258064484,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.561290322580639,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.5137634408602167,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6847826086956522,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.4623655913978495,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.89024861209324,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.440479782019827,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.557000582024253,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.296774193548394,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1935483870967742,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.455,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16300000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17912903225806454,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.6142857142857157,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}