Taylah Preston vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Taylah …: 28,1% Jessica …: 71,9%
¿Por qué Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
UTR 11,50 vs 12,24 (-0,85) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taylah … Jessica … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,28 26,7%
Gamdom 4,00 1,26 25,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,55 1,39 28,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Taylah …: +2,7% Jessica …: -2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylah Preston
Ranking #161
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #275
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 3/6 = 50,0%
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Ranking #40
UTR Rating 12,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #56
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -163,0000
rank_ratio 0,2049
log_rank_ratio -1,5853
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -881,0000
best_rank_diff -94,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,6129
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,6143
surface_matches_ratio 0,1935
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,5138
first_serve_won_diff 1,4000
second_serve_won_diff -4,2968
bp_saved_diff -1,6419
bp_converted_diff 4,5613
aces_per_match_diff -1,4624
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,4550
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6848
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 12,8902
serve_consistency_p2 8,4405
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,5570
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1630
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1791
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,8500
utr_p1 0,4024
utr_p2 0,5024
utr_advantage -7,1760
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22297
API ID 15340366
Gamdom ID 586918
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22297,
    "api_id": 15340366,
    "gamdom_id": 586918,
    "player1": "Taylah Preston",
    "player2": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.28
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.86,
      "p2": 1.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2814,
    "prob_p2": 0.7186,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7186,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 161,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 275,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 40,
      "utr_singles": 12.24,
      "utr_ranking": 56,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 275,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.24,
      "ranking": 56,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.5023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -0.8499999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2048780487804878,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -881,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.6419354838709594,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -10.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": -7.176023638666101,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -94,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.58534036085504,
    "rank_advantage": -163,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.6129032258064484,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.561290322580639,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.5137634408602167,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6847826086956522,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.4623655913978495,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.89024861209324,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.440479782019827,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.557000582024253,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.296774193548394,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1935483870967742,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.455,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16300000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17912903225806454,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.6142857142857157,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}