Xinyu Wang vs Talia Gibson
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 09:40
13 Ene 2026, 09:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu …: 62,9%
Talia …: 37,1%
¿Por qué Xinyu Wang?
UTR 12,25 vs 11,84
(+0,36)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Xinyu … | Talia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,60 | 2,41 | 62,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,59 | 2,70 | 62,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Xinyu …: -7,2%
Talia …: +7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/27 = 44,4%
Talia Gibson
Ranking
#119
UTR Rating
11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/16 = 37,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 61,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0702 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7276 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 422,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 73,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,9444 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,6989 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,1613 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,8309 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,0778 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,4704 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,0889 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,2481 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6644 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 96,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 67,7540 | |
| current_streak_diff | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7416 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5361 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,3719 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8886 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,0530 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1166 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0640 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 6,9444 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4494 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22298
API ID
15340364
Gamdom ID
586922
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22298,
"api_id": 15340364,
"gamdom_id": 586922,
"player1": "Xinyu Wang",
"player2": "Talia Gibson",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T05:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.41
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6293,
"prob_p2": 0.3707,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6293,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 119,
"utr_singles": 11.84,
"utr_ranking": 145,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 145,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4494117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 2.0701754385964914,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 422,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.0888888888888815,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 95.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 37.5,
"utr_advantage": 2.9999999999999956,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 73,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7276333566311147,
"rank_advantage": 61,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.944444444444443,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.248148148148147,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.8309259259259179,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5360824742268041,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6643518518518516,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 8,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.0777777777777828,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.371851600838377,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.888573230610534,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.053009421049406,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.470370370370361,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 67.754,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 6.944444444444443,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11655555555555552,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06400000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.6989247311827924,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}