Xinyu Wang vs Talia Gibson
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 09:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu …: 62,9% Talia …: 37,1%
¿Por qué Xinyu Wang?
UTR 12,25 vs 11,84 (+0,36) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Xinyu … Talia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
Gamdom 1,60 2,41 62,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,70 62,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Xinyu …: -7,2% Talia …: +7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Talia Gibson
Ranking #119
UTR Rating 11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/16 = 37,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 61,0000
rank_ratio 2,0702
log_rank_ratio 0,7276
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 422,0000
best_rank_diff 73,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,9444
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,6989
surface_matches_ratio 1,6875
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,4444
surface_wr_p2 37,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,1613
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,0000
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,8309
first_serve_won_diff 1,0778
second_serve_won_diff -3,4704
bp_saved_diff 3,0889
bp_converted_diff 11,2481
aces_per_match_diff -0,6644
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 1,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 96,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 67,7540
current_streak_diff 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7416
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5361
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 4,3719
serve_consistency_p2 7,8886
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,0530
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1166
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0640
elite_surface_amplifier 6,9444
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,4494
utr_advantage 3,0000
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22298
API ID 15340364
Gamdom ID 586922
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22298,
    "api_id": 15340364,
    "gamdom_id": 586922,
    "player1": "Xinyu Wang",
    "player2": "Talia Gibson",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T05:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6293,
    "prob_p2": 0.3707,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6293,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 119,
      "utr_singles": 11.84,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.84,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4494117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 2.0701754385964914,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 422,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.0888888888888815,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 95.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 37.5,
    "utr_advantage": 2.9999999999999956,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 73,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7276333566311147,
    "rank_advantage": 61,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.944444444444443,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.248148148148147,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.8309259259259179,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5360824742268041,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6643518518518516,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 8,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.0777777777777828,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.371851600838377,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.888573230610534,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.053009421049406,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.470370370370361,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 67.754,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 6.944444444444443,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11655555555555552,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06400000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.6989247311827924,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}