Elina Svitolina vs Xinyu Wang
Auckland | Hard | Final
11 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elina Svitolina
Elina …: 84,9% Xinyu …: 15,1%
¿Por qué Elina Svitolina?
UTR 12,66 vs 12,25 (+0,51) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elina … Xinyu … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,21 4,50 82,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,18 6,61 84,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Elina …: +8,7% Xinyu …: -8,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elina Svitolina
Ranking #12
UTR Rating 12,66 Pro
UTR Ranking #9
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/27 = 63,0%
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 44,0000
rank_ratio 4,3846
log_rank_ratio 1,4781
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1550,0000
best_rank_diff 29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,5185
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,5161
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,9630
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,2903
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,1613
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2593
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,4626
first_serve_won_diff 6,6963
second_serve_won_diff -0,7296
bp_saved_diff 3,8222
bp_converted_diff -1,2222
aces_per_match_diff 0,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9645
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7416
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 8,2464
serve_consistency_p2 4,3719
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 27,3723
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0856
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0116
elite_surface_amplifier 37,0370
UTR
utr_diff 0,5100
utr_p1 0,5518
utr_p2 0,4918
utr_advantage 4,1013
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22300
API ID 15302252
Gamdom ID 564739
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22300,
    "api_id": 15302252,
    "gamdom_id": 564739,
    "player1": "Elina Svitolina",
    "player2": "Xinyu Wang",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8486,
    "prob_p2": 0.1514,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8486,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 12,
      "utr_singles": 12.66,
      "utr_ranking": 9,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.96296296296296,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.66,
      "ranking": 9,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5517647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.5099999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 4.384615384615385,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1550,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.82222222222223,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.96296296296296,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": 4.101326899879371,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.4781019103730135,
    "rank_advantage": 44,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.51851851851852,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.2222222222222214,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.462592592592593,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9645390070921985,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7415730337078652,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.696296296296296,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25925925925925924,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.246446166439164,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.371851600838377,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 27.37225759950025,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.29032258064516,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.7296296296296347,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 37.03703703703704,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08562962962962961,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.011555555555555541,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.516129032258068,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}