Elina Svitolina vs Xinyu Wang
Auckland | Hard | Final
11 Ene 2026, 08:00
11 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elina Svitolina
Elina …: 84,9%
Xinyu …: 15,1%
¿Por qué Elina Svitolina?
UTR 12,66 vs 12,25
(+0,51)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elina … | Xinyu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,21 | 4,50 | 82,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,18 | 6,61 | 84,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elina …: +8,7%
Xinyu …: -8,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elina Svitolina
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
12,66 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/27 = 63,0%
Xinyu Wang
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/27 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,3846 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4781 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1550,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,5185 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,5161 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,9630 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,2903 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,1613 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2593 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,4626 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,6963 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,7296 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,8222 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,2222 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9645 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7416 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2464 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3719 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 27,3723 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0856 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0116 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 37,0370 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,1013 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22300
API ID
15302252
Gamdom ID
564739
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22300,
"api_id": 15302252,
"gamdom_id": 564739,
"player1": "Elina Svitolina",
"player2": "Xinyu Wang",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T04:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8486,
"prob_p2": 0.1514,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8486,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 12,
"utr_singles": 12.66,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.96296296296296,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.66,
"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.25,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5517647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_diff": 0.5099999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 4.384615384615385,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1550,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.82222222222223,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.96296296296296,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_advantage": 4.101326899879371,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.4781019103730135,
"rank_advantage": 44,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.51851851851852,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.2222222222222214,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.462592592592593,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9645390070921985,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7415730337078652,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6666666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.696296296296296,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25925925925925924,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.246446166439164,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.371851600838377,
"surface_rank_synergy": 27.37225759950025,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.29032258064516,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.16129032258064,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7296296296296347,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 37.03703703703704,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08562962962962961,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.011555555555555541,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.516129032258068,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}