Alexander Shevchenko vs Carlos Taberner
Adelaide | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander …: 65,2% Carlos …: 34,8%
¿Por qué Alexander Shevchenko?
UTR 14,73 vs 14,47 (+0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,53 2,88 65,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -9,8% Carlos …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #123
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Carlos Taberner
Ranking #99
UTR Rating 14,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #181
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -8,0000
rank_ratio 0,9245
log_rank_ratio -0,0785
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -33,0000
best_rank_diff 38,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,7826
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,0411
surface_matches_ratio 5,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 34,7826
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,0370
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,1818
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3043
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,5600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,6365
first_serve_won_diff 4,3348
second_serve_won_diff 1,4913
bp_saved_diff -1,8609
bp_converted_diff -5,4304
aces_per_match_diff 2,5109
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -35,4700
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 57,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3818
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,6790
serve_consistency_p2 9,8566
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7677
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1442
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2580
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2000
utr_p1 0,7871
utr_p2 0,7635
utr_advantage 1,3708
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22301
API ID 15341440
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22301,
    "api_id": 15341440,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alexander Shevchenko",
    "player2": "Carlos Taberner",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.27
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6524,
    "prob_p2": 0.3476,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6524,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 97,
      "utr_singles": 14.73,
      "utr_ranking": 123,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 99,
      "utr_singles": 14.47,
      "utr_ranking": 181,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.73,
      "ranking": 123,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.47,
      "ranking": 181,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7870588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9245283018867925,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -33,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.860869565217392,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 34.78260869565217,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.370801919122682,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 38,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.07847161544149521,
    "rank_advantage": -8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.782608695652172,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.4304347826086925,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.63652173913043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.38181818181818183,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.5108695652173916,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5599999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.334782608695647,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.30434782608695654,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.678974995577818,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.856550859543852,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7676571075798443,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.03703703703704,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.18181818181818,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4913043478260803,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -35.470000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 57,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14417391304347826,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.258,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.041077441077439,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}