Alexander Shevchenko vs Carlos Taberner
Adelaide | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 03:30
11 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander …: 65,2%
Carlos …: 34,8%
¿Por qué Alexander Shevchenko?
UTR 14,73 vs 14,47
(+0,20)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,88 | 65,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -9,8%
Carlos …: +9,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Carlos Taberner
Ranking
#99
UTR Rating
14,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#181
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9245 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0785 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -33,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,7826 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,0411 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,1818 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,6365 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,3348 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4913 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,8609 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,4304 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5109 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -35,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 57,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3818 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,6790 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,8566 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7677 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1442 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2580 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,3708 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22301
API ID
15341440
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22301,
"api_id": 15341440,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexander Shevchenko",
"player2": "Carlos Taberner",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.27
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6524,
"prob_p2": 0.3476,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6524,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 99,
"utr_singles": 14.47,
"utr_ranking": 181,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.73,
"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.47,
"ranking": 181,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7870588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.9245283018867925,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -33,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.860869565217392,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 34.78260869565217,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.370801919122682,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 38,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.07847161544149521,
"rank_advantage": -8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.782608695652172,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.4304347826086925,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.63652173913043,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.38181818181818183,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5108695652173916,
"combined_confidence": 0.5599999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.334782608695647,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.30434782608695654,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.678974995577818,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.856550859543852,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7676571075798443,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.18181818181818,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.4913043478260803,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -35.470000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 57,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14417391304347826,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.258,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.041077441077439,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}