Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys
Adelaide | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Benjamin Bonzi
Benjamin …: 72,0% Quentin …: 28,0%
¿Por qué Benjamin Bonzi?
UTR 15,19 vs 14,75 (+0,58) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Benjamin … Quentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,39 3,57 72,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Benjamin …: +30,9% Quentin …: -30,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Benjamin Bonzi
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/29 = 51,7%
Quentin Halys
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -8,0000
rank_ratio 0,9192
log_rank_ratio -0,0843
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -40,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,3302
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,7917
surface_matches_ratio 0,8788
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,7241
surface_wr_p2 39,3939
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,5152
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,5405
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0345
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -19,3816
first_serve_won_diff -9,4938
second_serve_won_diff 0,3295
bp_saved_diff 6,4282
bp_converted_diff 0,6136
aces_per_match_diff -7,3668
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -28,7190
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9620
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4167
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6875
serve_consistency_p1 9,9065
serve_consistency_p2 7,3173
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,0389
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0252
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1141
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5800
utr_p1 0,8647
utr_p2 0,7965
utr_advantage 3,8513
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22305
API ID 15341441
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22305,
    "api_id": 15341441,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Benjamin Bonzi",
    "player2": "Quentin Halys",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-11T02:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.87,
      "p2": 1.88
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7199,
    "prob_p2": 0.2801,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7199,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 15.19,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.19,
      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9191919191919192,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -40,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.428213166144197,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -29.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.724137931034484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 39.39393939393939,
    "utr_advantage": 3.8512616201859236,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.08426034361773985,
    "rank_advantage": -8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.330198537095093,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.6135841170323886,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -19.381619644723088,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8608695652173913,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.366771159874609,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.493834900731443,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.906512597187001,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.3173112898345725,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.0389467656105857,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.515151515151516,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.3294670846395107,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8787878787878788,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -28.718999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02524137931034487,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11406060606060608,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.791700791700793,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}