Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys
Adelaide | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 06:40
11 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Benjamin Bonzi
Benjamin …: 72,0%
Quentin …: 28,0%
¿Por qué Benjamin Bonzi?
UTR 15,19 vs 14,75
(+0,58)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Benjamin … | Quentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,39 | 3,57 | 72,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Benjamin …: +30,9%
Quentin …: -30,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Benjamin Bonzi
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/29 = 51,7%
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9192 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0843 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -40,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,3302 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,7917 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8788 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,7241 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,5152 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,5405 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -19,3816 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,4938 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,3295 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,4282 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,6136 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,3668 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -28,7190 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9620 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9065 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3173 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,0389 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0252 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1141 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8513 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22305
API ID
15341441
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22305,
"api_id": 15341441,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Benjamin Bonzi",
"player2": "Quentin Halys",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-11T02:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.87,
"p2": 1.88
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7199,
"prob_p2": 0.2801,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7199,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.19,
"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 0.9191919191919192,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -40,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.428213166144197,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -29.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.724137931034484,
"surface_wr_p2": 39.39393939393939,
"utr_advantage": 3.8512616201859236,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.08426034361773985,
"rank_advantage": -8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.330198537095093,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.6135841170323886,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -19.381619644723088,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8608695652173913,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.366771159874609,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.493834900731443,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.906512597187001,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.3173112898345725,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.0389467656105857,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.515151515151516,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.3294670846395107,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8787878787878788,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -28.718999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02524137931034487,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11406060606060608,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.791700791700793,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}