Adam Walton vs Jake Delaney
Adelaide | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adam Walton
Adam …: 87,7% Jake …: 12,3%
¿Por qué Adam Walton?
UTR 14,69 vs 13,54 (+1,32) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Adam … Jake … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,14 5,50 87,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,14 8,10 87,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Adam …: +4,9% Jake …: -4,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adam Walton
Ranking #81
UTR Rating 14,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #130
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR Hard 28/54 = 51,9%
Jake Delaney
Ranking #475
UTR Rating 13,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #664
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 400,0000
rank_ratio 6,1948
log_rank_ratio 1,8237
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 641,0000
best_rank_diff 360,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,8519
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,3547
surface_matches_ratio 5,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,8519
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,7241
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 54,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0370
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,3711
first_serve_won_diff 0,4630
second_serve_won_diff -0,9963
bp_saved_diff -18,0519
bp_converted_diff -6,0667
aces_per_match_diff -0,6519
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21,3790
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9588
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 7,1997
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,6144
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3815
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3000
elite_surface_amplifier 23,7037
UTR
utr_diff 1,3200
utr_p1 0,7953
utr_p2 0,6400
utr_advantage 9,3617
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22308
API ID 15341442
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22308,
    "api_id": 15341442,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Adam Walton",
    "player2": "Jake Delaney",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-11T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1428571428571428,
      "p2": 5.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 6.83
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8766,
    "prob_p2": 0.1234,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8766,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 81,
      "utr_singles": 14.69,
      "utr_ranking": 130,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 54,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 475,
      "utr_singles": 13.54,
      "utr_ranking": 664,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.69,
      "ranking": 130,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.54,
      "ranking": 664,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7952941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.6399999999999999,
    "utr_diff": 1.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 6.194805194805195,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 641,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -18.051851851851858,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 9.361702127659576,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 360,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8237110690346574,
    "rank_advantage": 400,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.851851851851848,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.066666666666666,
    "p1_surface_matches": 54,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.3711111111111194,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9587628865979382,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6518518518518519,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.4629629629629477,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.199652813213707,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.614353410781117,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.724137931034484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.9962962962963005,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.379000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 23.703703703703695,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.38148148148148153,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.30000000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.354679802955668,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}