Adam Walton vs Jake Delaney
Adelaide | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 10:00
11 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adam Walton
Adam …: 87,7%
Jake …: 12,3%
¿Por qué Adam Walton?
UTR 14,69 vs 13,54
(+1,32)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adam … | Jake … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,14 | 5,50 | 87,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,14 | 8,10 | 87,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Adam …: +4,9%
Jake …: -4,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adam Walton
Ranking
#81
UTR Rating
14,69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#130
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR Hard
28/54 = 51,9%
Jake Delaney
Ranking
#475
UTR Rating
13,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#664
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 400,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,1948 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8237 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 641,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 360,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,8519 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,3547 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,7241 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0370 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,3711 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,4630 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,9963 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -18,0519 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,0667 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6519 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,3790 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9588 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1997 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,6144 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3815 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 23,7037 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6400 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,3617 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22308
API ID
15341442
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22308,
"api_id": 15341442,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Adam Walton",
"player2": "Jake Delaney",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-11T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1428571428571428,
"p2": 5.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.09,
"p2": 6.83
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8766,
"prob_p2": 0.1234,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8766,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 81,
"utr_singles": 14.69,
"utr_ranking": 130,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 475,
"utr_singles": 13.54,
"utr_ranking": 664,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.69,
"ranking": 130,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.54,
"ranking": 664,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7952941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.6399999999999999,
"utr_diff": 1.3200000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 6.194805194805195,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 641,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -18.051851851851858,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 9.361702127659576,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 360,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8237110690346574,
"rank_advantage": 400,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.851851851851848,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.066666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 54,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.3711111111111194,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9587628865979382,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6518518518518519,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.4629629629629477,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.199652813213707,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.614353410781117,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.724137931034484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.9962962962963005,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.379000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 23.703703703703695,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.38148148148148153,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.30000000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.354679802955668,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}