Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Darja Semenistaja
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 06:15
11 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Elisabetta …: 71,5%
Darja …: 28,5%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 12,14 vs 11,94
(+0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elisabetta … | Darja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,51 | 71,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elisabetta …: +10,7%
Darja …: -10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking
#98
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#121
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2099 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1905 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 58,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 58,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,7123 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,4218 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,2899 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,7900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,3533 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,1600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,8867 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2556 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,2350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5733 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1519 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2014 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,5402 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0503 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1497 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,0793 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22310
API ID
15341880
Gamdom ID
587697
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22310,
"api_id": 15341880,
"gamdom_id": 587697,
"player1": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
"player2": "Darja Semenistaja",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T02:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.59,
"p2": 2.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7148,
"prob_p2": 0.2852,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7148,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 98,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 121,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 121,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.129999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.2098765432098766,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 58,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.159999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 1.079286010792852,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 58,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.19051832399813318,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.8866666666666632,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.289888888888896,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5733333333333334,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.25555555555555554,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.7900000000000063,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.151873431860485,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.201425257592099,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.5402443199751095,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.421836228287845,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.353333333333332,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.3333333333333335,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.235000000000014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0503333333333334,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14966666666666673,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.7122609837979805,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}