Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Darja Semenistaja
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Elisabetta …: 71,5% Darja …: 28,5%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 12,14 vs 11,94 (+0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elisabetta … Darja … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,57 2,25 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,51 71,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Elisabetta …: +10,7% Darja …: -10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking #98
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #121
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 17,0000
rank_ratio 1,2099
log_rank_ratio 0,1905
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 58,0000
best_rank_diff 58,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,7123
surface_matches_ratio 3,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,4218
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,2899
first_serve_won_diff 3,7900
second_serve_won_diff 6,3533
bp_saved_diff 14,1600
bp_converted_diff 0,8867
aces_per_match_diff -0,2556
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,2350
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5733
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7692
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1429
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,1519
serve_consistency_p2 6,2014
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,5402
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0503
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1497
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1300
utr_p1 0,4835
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage 1,0793
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22310
API ID 15341880
Gamdom ID 587697
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22310,
    "api_id": 15341880,
    "gamdom_id": 587697,
    "player1": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
    "player2": "Darja Semenistaja",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T02:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7148,
    "prob_p2": 0.2852,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7148,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 98,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 121,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.14,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 121,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.129999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2098765432098766,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 58,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 14.159999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 1.079286010792852,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 58,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.19051832399813318,
    "rank_advantage": 17,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.8866666666666632,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.289888888888896,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5733333333333334,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.25555555555555554,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.7900000000000063,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.151873431860485,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.201425257592099,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.5402443199751095,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.421836228287845,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.353333333333332,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.3333333333333335,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.235000000000014,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0503333333333334,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14966666666666673,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.7122609837979805,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}