Catherine McNally vs Julia Grabher
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Catherine McNally
Catherine …: 71,2% Julia …: 28,8%
¿Por qué Catherine McNally?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Catherine … Julia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,19 4,20 84,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,41 3,47 71,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Catherine …: -1,2% Julia …: +1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Catherine McNally
Ranking #85
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Julia Grabher
Ranking #95
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #133
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 2/10 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 9,0000
rank_ratio 1,1084
log_rank_ratio 0,1029
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 37,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 32,3810
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,2762
surface_matches_ratio 2,1000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,3810
surface_wr_p2 20,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 28,5714
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,5667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,2399
first_serve_won_diff 0,4600
second_serve_won_diff 4,1600
bp_saved_diff 9,2600
bp_converted_diff 18,2000
aces_per_match_diff -0,1190
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,8250
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4648
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,1724
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,5824
serve_consistency_p2 10,5466
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,3336
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0148
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2910
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22311
API ID 15341881
Gamdom ID 587695
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22311,
    "api_id": 15341881,
    "gamdom_id": 587695,
    "player1": "Catherine McNally",
    "player2": "Julia Grabher",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.2
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7117,
    "prob_p2": 0.2883,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7117,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 95,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 133,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 20.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 133,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.108433734939759,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 37,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.260000000000012,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.38095238095239,
    "surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.1029479692524424,
    "rank_advantage": 9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 32.38095238095239,
    "bp_converted_diff": 18.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.2399047619047678,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4647887323943662,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.1724137931034483,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.11904761904761907,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.46000000000000796,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.582418618894357,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.546554575322443,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.333553290079088,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.160000000000011,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.1,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.825000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.014809523809523828,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.291,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.276190476190477,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}