Renata Zarazua vs Simona Waltert
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Renata …: 28,6% Simona …: 71,4%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,15 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Renata … Simona … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,65 2,11 60,6%
IA Fair Odds 3,50 1,40 28,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Renata …: -30,3% Simona …: +30,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Renata Zarazua
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Simona Waltert
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 8/12 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 11,0000
rank_ratio 1,1429
log_rank_ratio 0,1335
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 27,0000
best_rank_diff 35,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -24,3590
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,7139
surface_matches_ratio 2,1667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,5000
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,6633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,0910
first_serve_won_diff -11,0244
second_serve_won_diff -0,3910
bp_saved_diff -12,8821
bp_converted_diff 8,9500
aces_per_match_diff -3,2308
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,5050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5200
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 4,5164
serve_consistency_p2 7,1777
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,2527
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0879
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1777
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,4776
utr_p2 0,4965
utr_advantage -1,3180
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22312
API ID 15341875
Gamdom ID 587696
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22312,
    "api_id": 15341875,
    "gamdom_id": 587696,
    "player1": "Renata Zarazua",
    "player2": "Simona Waltert",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.11
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.66,
      "p2": 2.14
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.286,
    "prob_p2": 0.714,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.714,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 66,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 66,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.4964705882352942,
    "utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1428571428571428,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 27,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -12.882051282051286,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3179571663920933,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 35,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.13353139262452257,
    "rank_advantage": 11,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -24.35897435897435,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.950000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.091025641025645,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.52,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.230769230769231,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -11.024358974358982,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.516358873778184,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.177738523472863,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.2526877690588822,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3910256410256494,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.1666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5049999999999955,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08792307692307694,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17766666666666653,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.713888888888887,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}