Renata Zarazua vs Simona Waltert
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 06:00
11 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Renata …: 28,6%
Simona …: 71,4%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,15
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Renata … | Simona … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,65 | 2,11 | 60,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,50 | 1,40 | 28,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Renata …: -30,3%
Simona …: +30,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Renata Zarazua
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Simona Waltert
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
8/12 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 11,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1335 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 27,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 35,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -24,3590 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,7139 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1538 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,0910 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,0244 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,3910 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,8821 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,9500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,2308 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5200 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5164 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1777 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,2527 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0879 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1777 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4965 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3180 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22312
API ID
15341875
Gamdom ID
587696
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22312,
"api_id": 15341875,
"gamdom_id": 587696,
"player1": "Renata Zarazua",
"player2": "Simona Waltert",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.11
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.66,
"p2": 2.14
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.286,
"prob_p2": 0.714,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.714,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.08,
"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4964705882352942,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.1428571428571428,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 27,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.882051282051286,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -1.3179571663920933,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 35,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.13353139262452257,
"rank_advantage": 11,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -24.35897435897435,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.950000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.091025641025645,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.52,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.230769230769231,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.024358974358982,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.516358873778184,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.177738523472863,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.2526877690588822,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.3910256410256494,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.1666666666666665,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5049999999999955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08792307692307694,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17766666666666653,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.713888888888887,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}