Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic
United Cup | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iga Swiatek
Iga …: 51,3% Belinda …: 48,7%
¿Por qué Iga Swiatek?
UTR 12,90 vs 12,48 (+0,45) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iga … Belinda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,50 76,9%
Gamdom 1,36 3,20 73,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,95 2,06 51,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Iga …: -21,6% Belinda …: +21,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iga Swiatek
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 41/52 = 78,8%
Belinda Bencic
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #23
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 30/41 = 73,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 9,0000
rank_ratio 5,5000
log_rank_ratio 1,7047
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 5081,0000
best_rank_diff 3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,6754
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,6746
surface_matches_ratio 1,2683
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 78,8462
surface_wr_p2 73,1707
surface_wr_p1_stable 76,7857
surface_wr_p2_stable 71,1111
p1_surface_matches 52,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5769
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,3545
first_serve_won_diff 2,1442
second_serve_won_diff 2,2577
bp_saved_diff -4,0519
bp_converted_diff 6,9481
aces_per_match_diff 0,8025
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,4000
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0586
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7130
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 11,6220
serve_consistency_p2 10,5811
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,6752
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2795
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2407
elite_surface_amplifier 5,6754
UTR
utr_diff 0,4500
utr_p1 0,5788
utr_p2 0,5259
utr_advantage 3,5447
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22320
API ID 15342513
Gamdom ID 588235
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22320,
    "api_id": 15342513,
    "gamdom_id": 588235,
    "player1": "Iga Swiatek",
    "player2": "Belinda Bencic",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-11T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.21
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5135,
    "prob_p2": 0.4865,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5135,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 12.9,
      "utr_ranking": 3,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 78.84615384615384,
      "wr_surface_wins": 41,
      "wr_surface_total": 52,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 23,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.9,
      "ranking": 3,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 23,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5788235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5258823529411766,
    "utr_diff": 0.4499999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 5.5,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 5081,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.0519230769230745,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -41.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 78.84615384615384,
    "surface_wr_p2": 73.17073170731707,
    "utr_advantage": 3.544702638834181,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7047480922384253,
    "rank_advantage": 9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.675422138836765,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.948076923076918,
    "p1_surface_matches": 52,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.3544887429643495,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0585585585585586,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7130434782608696,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.802532833020638,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.1442307692307736,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5769230769230769,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.621982398678009,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.581088827147836,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.675165063829699,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 76.78571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.11111111111111,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.2576923076922952,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2682926829268293,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.400000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 5.675422138836765,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.27946153846153843,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24070731707317072,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.6746031746031775,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}