Hubert Hurkacz vs Stan Wawrinka
United Cup | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 13:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert …: 74,0% Stan …: 26,0%
¿Por qué Hubert Hurkacz?
UTR 15,65 vs 14,64 (+1,08) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hubert … Stan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,33 82,0%
Gamdom 1,20 4,70 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,85 74,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Hubert …: -4,0% Stan …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking #139
UTR Rating 14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #139
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 73,0000
rank_ratio 1,8795
log_rank_ratio 0,6310
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 313,0000
best_rank_diff -3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,7000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,5767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,4349
first_serve_won_diff -2,0086
second_serve_won_diff -0,2029
bp_saved_diff 3,1400
bp_converted_diff -6,2186
aces_per_match_diff 5,7500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 62,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 59,9500
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2167
winner_ue_ratio_p2 2,4615
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 5,4891
serve_consistency_p2 5,4860
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0730
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0730
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0800
utr_p1 0,9106
utr_p2 0,7835
utr_advantage 7,1053
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22321
API ID 15342514
Gamdom ID 588260
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22321,
    "api_id": 15342514,
    "gamdom_id": 588260,
    "player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
    "player2": "Stan Wawrinka",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-11T09:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.17,
      "p2": 4.83
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7402,
    "prob_p2": 0.2598,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7402,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 139,
      "utr_singles": 14.64,
      "utr_ranking": 139,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.64,
      "ranking": 139,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9105882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.7835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 1.08,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8795180722891567,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 313,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.1400000000000006,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 62.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.105263157894738,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6310153994529392,
    "rank_advantage": 73,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.218571428571423,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.43485714285714,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 2.4615384615384617,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.75,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5766666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.008571428571429,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.489058573197734,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.486023624945343,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.20285714285714818,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 59.95,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07299999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07299999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}