Hubert Hurkacz vs Stan Wawrinka
United Cup | Hard |
11 Ene 2026, 13:10
11 Ene 2026, 13:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert …: 74,0%
Stan …: 26,0%
¿Por qué Hubert Hurkacz?
UTR 15,65 vs 14,64
(+1,08)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hubert … | Stan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,33 | 82,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,20 | 4,70 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,35 | 3,85 | 74,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hubert …: -4,0%
Stan …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/14 = 50,0%
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#139
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 73,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8795 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6310 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 313,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,4349 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0086 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,2029 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,1400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,2186 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,7500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 62,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 59,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2167 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 2,4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4891 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4860 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0730 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7835 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,1053 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22321
API ID
15342514
Gamdom ID
588260
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22321,
"api_id": 15342514,
"gamdom_id": 588260,
"player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
"player2": "Stan Wawrinka",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-11T09:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.17,
"p2": 4.83
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7402,
"prob_p2": 0.2598,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7402,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 139,
"utr_singles": 14.64,
"utr_ranking": 139,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.65,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.64,
"ranking": 139,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9105882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.7835294117647059,
"utr_diff": 1.08,
"rank_ratio": 1.8795180722891567,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 313,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.1400000000000006,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 62.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 7.105263157894738,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6310153994529392,
"rank_advantage": 73,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.218571428571423,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.43485714285714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 2.4615384615384617,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.75,
"combined_confidence": 0.5766666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.008571428571429,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.489058573197734,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.486023624945343,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.20285714285714818,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 59.95,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07299999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07299999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}