Jessica Pegula vs McCartney Kessler
Austin | Hard | Final
02 Mar 2025, 23:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … McCartney … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 34/49 = 69,4%
McCartney Kessler
Ranking #37
UTR Rating 12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/42 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 31,0000
rank_ratio 6,1667
log_rank_ratio 1,8192
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 4118,0000
best_rank_diff 27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,9624
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,1321
surface_matches_ratio 1,1299
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,6767
surface_wr_p2 64,7143
surface_wr_p1_stable 70,3297
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,1975
p1_surface_matches 87,0000
p2_surface_matches 77,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4253
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,3744
first_serve_won_diff 3,1342
second_serve_won_diff 1,3832
bp_saved_diff 2,7058
bp_converted_diff 0,2253
aces_per_match_diff 0,6962
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 7,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9061
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7450
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4118
serve_consistency_p1 8,1620
serve_consistency_p2 22,4978
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,8466
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1758
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1781
elite_surface_amplifier 11,9248
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,5588
utr_p2 0,5165
utr_advantage 2,8640
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 2233
API ID 13499153
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Austin
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 2233,
    "api_id": 13499153,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "McCartney Kessler",
    "tournament": "Austin",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-03-02T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.75,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 49,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 37,
      "utr_singles": 12.39,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 7,
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 6.166666666666667,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8191584434161694,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 4118,
    "best_rank_diff": 27,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.962406015037587,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.132139465472804,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.12987012987013,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.6766917293233,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.71428571428571,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.32967032967034,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.19753086419753,
    "p1_surface_matches": 87,
    "p2_surface_matches": 77,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42528735632183906,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.374433583959906,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.1342105263157833,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.38315789473684,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.705789473684213,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.22526315789474438,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6961904761904765,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.906060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7449664429530202,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4117647058823529,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.161968183717518,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 22.497848440439782,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.846561245330982,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1757669172932329,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17814285714285716,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 11.924812030075174,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
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    "utr_advantage": 2.863961813842477,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}