Jessica Pegula vs McCartney Kessler
Austin | Hard | Final
02 Mar 2025, 19:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … McCartney … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 62/87 = 71.3%
McCartney Kessler
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 12.40 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 50/77 = 64.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 25.0000
rank_ratio 5.1667
log_rank_ratio 1.6422
rank_tier_advantage 2.0000
points_diff 4025.0000
best_rank_diff 27.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5.9624
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6.1321
surface_matches_ratio 1.1299
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2.0000
surface_wr_p1 70.6767
surface_wr_p2 64.7143
surface_wr_p1_stable 70.3297
surface_wr_p2_stable 64.1975
p1_surface_matches 87.0000
p2_surface_matches 77.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.4253
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3.3744
first_serve_won_diff 3.1342
second_serve_won_diff 1.3832
bp_saved_diff 2.7058
bp_converted_diff 0.2253
aces_per_match_diff 0.6962
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 98.0000
momentum_p2 98.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 6.0000
match_load_p2 7.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9061
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.7450
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4118
serve_consistency_p1 8.1620
serve_consistency_p2 22.4978
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9.7916
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1818
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1721
elite_surface_amplifier 11.9248
UTR
utr_diff 0.3800
utr_p1 0.5624
utr_p2 0.5176
utr_advantage 3.0183
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 2233
API ID 13499153
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Austin
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 2233,
    "api_id": 13499153,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "McCartney Kessler",
    "tournament": "Austin",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-03-02T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface_total": 87,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 12.4,
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      "wr_surface": 64.93506493506493,
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      "wr_surface_total": 77,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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  },
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.32967032967034,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.19753086419753,
    "p1_surface_matches": 87,
    "p2_surface_matches": 77,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42528735632183906,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 3.374433583959906,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.1342105263157833,
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    "bp_saved_diff": 2.705789473684213,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.22526315789474438,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6961904761904765,
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    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
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    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.906060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7449664429530202,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4117647058823529,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.161968183717518,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1817669172932329,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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}