Ezequiel Monferrer vs Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
11 Ene 2026, 17:00
11 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Farjat
Ezequiel …: 18,7%
Tomas …: 81,3%
¿Por qué Tomas Farjat?
UTR 12,78 vs 12,89
(-0,19)
— Niveles similares
Ezequiel …
W23-L26
47% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Tomas …
W32-L25
56% WR
vs UTR 12,7
W8
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ezequiel … | Tomas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,34 | 1,23 | 18,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ezequiel …: -16,8%
Tomas …: +16,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ezequiel Monferrer
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1309
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Clay
1/8 = 12,5%
Tomas Farjat
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1200
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Clay
2/6 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ezequiel Monferrer
Record 2025
23W - 26L (47%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Tomas Farjat
Record 2025
32W - 25L (56%)
Racha
8W
UTR Oponentes
12,7
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Tomas Farjat en racha: 8 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20,8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,8344 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 12,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 22,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,7500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,3367 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -16,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 14,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 111,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 362,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8362 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5553 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5776 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4826 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22338
API ID
15344340
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22338,
"api_id": 15344340,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ezequiel Monferrer",
"player2": "Tomas Farjat",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.01,
"p2": 1.35
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1872,
"prob_p2": 0.8128,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8128,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 1309,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 46.93877551020408,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.85,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Nicolas Zanellato"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.54,
"opponent_name": "Breno Braga"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.89,
"opponent_name": "Rafael Tosetto"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.73,
"opponent_name": "Pedro Sakamoto"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.03,
"opponent_name": "Eduardo Ribeiro"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:19.548557+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 12.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.89,
"utr_ranking": 1200,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 32,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.14035087719298,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 8,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.68,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.35,
"opponent_name": "Ramiro Amarilla"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.48,
"opponent_name": "Valentino Grippo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "valentino conte"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Santiago Lora"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.38,
"opponent_name": "Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:50.741064+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.78,
"ranking": 1309,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.89,
"ranking": 1200,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5552941176470589,
"utr_p2": 0.5776470588235294,
"utr_diff": -0.1899999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.999999999999993,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 12.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -1.482637534139676,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.83333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.299999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.336666666666659,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3333333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -16.1,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.8362068965517224,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 22.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 14.600000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 111,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 362,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.375,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16666666666666674,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.8344444444444425,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}