Ezequiel Monferrer vs Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
11 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Farjat
Ezequiel …: 18,7% Tomas …: 81,3%
¿Por qué Tomas Farjat?
UTR 12,78 vs 12,89 (-0,19) — Niveles similares
Ezequiel …
W23-L26
47% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Tomas …
W32-L25
56% WR
vs UTR 12,7
W8
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ezequiel … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
IA Fair Odds 5,34 1,23 18,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Ezequiel …: -16,8% Tomas …: +16,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ezequiel Monferrer
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #1309
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Clay 1/8 = 12,5%
Tomas Farjat
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #1200
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Clay 2/6 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ezequiel Monferrer
Record 2025 23W - 26L (47%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Tomas Farjat
Record 2025 32W - 25L (56%)
Racha 8W
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Tomas Farjat en racha: 8 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -20,8333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,8344
surface_matches_ratio 1,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 12,5000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 22,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,3333
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,7500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3933
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,3367
first_serve_won_diff -16,1000
second_serve_won_diff 14,6000
bp_saved_diff -6,0000
bp_converted_diff 15,3000
aces_per_match_diff -1,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 111,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 362,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,8362
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3750
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1667
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1900
utr_p1 0,5553
utr_p2 0,5776
utr_advantage -1,4826
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22338
API ID 15344340
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22338,
    "api_id": 15344340,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ezequiel Monferrer",
    "player2": "Tomas Farjat",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.01,
      "p2": 1.35
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1872,
    "prob_p2": 0.8128,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8128,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.78,
      "utr_ranking": 1309,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.93877551020408,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.85,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Zanellato"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Breno Braga"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.89,
          "opponent_name": "Rafael Tosetto"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.73,
          "opponent_name": "Pedro Sakamoto"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.03,
          "opponent_name": "Eduardo Ribeiro"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:19.548557+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 12.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.89,
      "utr_ranking": 1200,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.14035087719298,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 8,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.68,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.35,
          "opponent_name": "Ramiro Amarilla"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.48,
          "opponent_name": "Valentino Grippo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "valentino conte"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Santiago Lora"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:50.741064+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.78,
      "ranking": 1309,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.89,
      "ranking": 1200,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": -0.1899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.999999999999993,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 12.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": -1.482637534139676,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -20.83333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.299999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.336666666666659,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3333333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -16.1,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.75,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.8362068965517224,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 22.5,
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    "second_serve_won_diff": 14.600000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 111,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 362,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.375,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16666666666666674,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.8344444444444425,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}