Valerio Aboian vs Nicolas Garcia Longo
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
11 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valerio Aboian
Valerio …: 78,4% Nicolas …: 21,6%
¿Por qué Valerio Aboian?
UTR 13,68 vs 12,76 — Niveles similares
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Nicolas …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Valerio … Nicolas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,63 78,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Valerio …: -8,2% Nicolas …: +8,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valerio Aboian
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #569
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Clay 10/18 = 55,6%
Nicolas Garcia Longo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #1328
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025 30W - 19L (61%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Nicolas Garcia Longo
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 55,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,0455
surface_matches_ratio 18,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 18,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 55,8178
first_serve_won_diff 63,0000
second_serve_won_diff 51,8000
bp_saved_diff 62,0000
bp_converted_diff 34,1000
aces_per_match_diff 4,3889
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1667
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 22,2222
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -27,7778
weighted_momentum_diff -7,6667
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 342,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 1,0518
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0556
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6694
utr_p2 0,6694
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22340
API ID 15344343
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22340,
    "api_id": 15344343,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Valerio Aboian",
    "player2": "Nicolas Garcia Longo",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.784,
    "prob_p2": 0.216,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.784,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.68,
      "utr_ranking": 569,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.43,
          "opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.77,
          "opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.16,
          "opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.94,
          "opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.76,
      "utr_ranking": 1328,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.68,
      "ranking": 569,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.76,
      "ranking": 1328,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6694117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.6694117647058823,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 62.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -27.777777777777775,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 55.55555555555556,
    "bp_converted_diff": 34.1,
    "p1_surface_matches": 18,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 55.81777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.388888888888889,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 63.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 1.0518153607913452,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 51.8,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 18.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.666666666666664,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 342,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05555555555555558,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.0454545454545427,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}