Simon Caldwell vs Matej Kajzer
UTR PTT South Bend Men 01 | Hard | Final
11 Ene 2026, 18:00
11 Ene 2026, 18:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simon Caldwell
Simon …: 71,4%
Matej …: 28,6%
¿Por qué Simon Caldwell?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,00
(+1,00)
— Ligera ventaja
Simon …
W33-L27
55% WR
vs UTR 11,9
L4
Matej …
Sin datos
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Simon … | Matej … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 5,50 | 88,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,06 | 6,00 | 94,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,49 | 71,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Simon …: -11,6%
Matej …: +11,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simon Caldwell
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2343
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Matej Kajzer
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#7423
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Simon Caldwell
Record 2025
33W - 27L (55%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
11,9
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Matej Kajzer
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,3326 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,6957 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22356
API ID
15343763
Gamdom ID
589053
Torneo
UTR PTT South Bend Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22356,
"api_id": 15343763,
"gamdom_id": 589053,
"player1": "Simon Caldwell",
"player2": "Matej Kajzer",
"tournament": "UTR PTT South Bend Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.125,
"p2": 5.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.06,
"p2": 6.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 6.89
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7137,
"prob_p2": 0.2863,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7137,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2343,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 33,
"utr_v4_losses": 27,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.00000000000001,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.92,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Dennis Andre Dutine"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.21,
"opponent_name": "Rohan Belday"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Matthis Ross"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Joaquin BENOIT"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Drew Hedgecoe"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.814608+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 7423,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2343,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 7423,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 1.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 8.695652173913043,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.332649391600959,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}