Juan Bautista Torres vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 21:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan …: 47,2% Juan …: 52,8%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel La Serna?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,50 78,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,12 1,89 47,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: -26,0% Juan …: +26,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Bautista Torres
Ranking #364
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 23/47 = 48,9%
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking #412
UTR Rating 13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #500
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Clay 8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 70,0000
rank_ratio 1,1928
log_rank_ratio 0,1763
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 26,0000
best_rank_diff 202,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,8773
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,0971
surface_matches_ratio 2,7647
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,9362
surface_wr_p2 47,0588
surface_wr_p1_stable 49,0196
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,6190
p1_surface_matches 47,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0213
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,7179
first_serve_won_diff -1,5000
second_serve_won_diff -5,6000
bp_saved_diff -0,6000
bp_converted_diff 3,6000
aces_per_match_diff -0,1439
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,1200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 103,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 105,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2727
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 9,9452
serve_consistency_p2 9,4879
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3310
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0806
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0406
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6788
utr_p2 0,6788
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22369
API ID 15344359
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22369,
    "api_id": 15344359,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Bautista Torres",
    "player2": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T17:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4722,
    "prob_p2": 0.5278,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5278,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 364,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.93617021276596,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 412,
      "utr_singles": 13.79,
      "utr_ranking": 500,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.79,
      "ranking": 500,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6788235294117646,
    "utr_p2": 0.6788235294117646,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1928374655647382,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 26,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.5999999999999943,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.93617021276596,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 202,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.17633489373763903,
    "rank_advantage": 70,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.8773466833541974,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 47,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.71785982478098,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.14392991239048814,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.02127659574468085,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.945211293182032,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.487921891471842,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.3310417279179715,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 49.01960784313725,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.599999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.764705882352941,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.120000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 103,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 105,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0806382978723405,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04058823529411765,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0971055088702164,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}