Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Andrea Collarini
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 17:00
13 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Collarini
Luciano …: 44,0%
Andrea …: 56,0%
¿Por qué Andrea Collarini?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luciano … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,27 | 1,79 | 44,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Luciano …: +8,7%
Andrea …: -8,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Ranking
#437
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
17/33 = 51,5%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking
#233
UTR Rating
14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#253
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
32/56 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -192,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5576 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5841 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -121,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -165,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,6277 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,3153 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5893 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,5152 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,3072 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6764 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,6300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 103,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 61,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,9019 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6933 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,2872 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2072 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1206 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22371
API ID
15344353
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22371,
"api_id": 15344353,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi",
"player2": "Andrea Collarini",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.62,
"p2": 1.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4404,
"prob_p2": 0.5596,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5596,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 437,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 233,
"utr_singles": 14.26,
"utr_ranking": 253,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.26,
"ranking": 253,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.5576036866359447,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -121,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8999999999999986,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.515151515151516,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -165,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5841068079437184,
"rank_advantage": -192,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.627705627705623,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.3071861471861439,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6764069264069261,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.901862163042747,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.693327111763772,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.2871811702460314,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5892857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.6299999999999955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 103,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2071515151515151,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12057142857142855,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.315315315315317,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}