Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Andrea Collarini
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Collarini
Luciano …: 44,0% Andrea …: 56,0%
¿Por qué Andrea Collarini?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Luciano … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,27 1,79 44,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Luciano …: +8,7% Andrea …: -8,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Ranking #437
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 17/33 = 51,5%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking #233
UTR Rating 14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #253
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 32/56 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -192,0000
rank_ratio 0,5576
log_rank_ratio -0,5841
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -121,0000
best_rank_diff -165,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,6277
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,3153
surface_matches_ratio 0,5893
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,5152
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,3514
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,6667
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 56,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,3072
first_serve_won_diff -2,0000
second_serve_won_diff -2,2000
bp_saved_diff 0,9000
bp_converted_diff 6,7000
aces_per_match_diff 0,6764
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,6300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 103,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 61,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5263
serve_consistency_p1 7,9019
serve_consistency_p2 8,6933
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,2872
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2072
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1206
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7294
utr_p2 0,7294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22371
API ID 15344353
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22371,
    "api_id": 15344353,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi",
    "player2": "Andrea Collarini",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.62,
      "p2": 1.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4404,
    "prob_p2": 0.5596,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5596,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 437,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 233,
      "utr_singles": 14.26,
      "utr_ranking": 253,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.26,
      "ranking": 253,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -121,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.8999999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.515151515151516,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": -165,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5841068079437184,
    "rank_advantage": -192,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.627705627705623,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 56,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.3071861471861439,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6764069264069261,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.901862163042747,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.693327111763772,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.2871811702460314,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.35135135135135,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5892857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.6299999999999955,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 103,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2071515151515151,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12057142857142855,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.315315315315317,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}