Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Mariano Kestelboim
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Pedro …: 54,8% Mariano …: 45,2%
¿Por qué Pedro Boscardin Dias?
UTR 13,98 vs 13,75 (+0,28) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pedro … Mariano … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,83 2,21 54,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Pedro …: -6,1% Mariano …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Ranking #268
UTR Rating 13,98 Pro
UTR Ranking #392
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 29% (7p)
WR Clay 26/46 = 56,5%
Mariano Kestelboim
Ranking #413
UTR Rating 13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #528
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 22/39 = 56,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 134,0000
rank_ratio 1,4908
log_rank_ratio 0,3993
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 82,0000
best_rank_diff 119,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,1115
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,1860
surface_matches_ratio 1,1795
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,5217
surface_wr_p2 56,4103
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8140
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1304
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,9956
first_serve_won_diff 5,4000
second_serve_won_diff 2,1000
bp_saved_diff 6,4000
bp_converted_diff -1,4000
aces_per_match_diff 0,8328
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -16,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 103,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 62,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 15,8013
serve_consistency_p2 8,9377
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0445
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0688
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1981
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2800
utr_p1 0,7071
utr_p2 0,6741
utr_advantage 2,0187
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22374
API ID 15344354
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22374,
    "api_id": 15344354,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Pedro Boscardin Dias",
    "player2": "Mariano Kestelboim",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5478,
    "prob_p2": 0.4522,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5478,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 268,
      "utr_singles": 13.98,
      "utr_ranking": 392,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 413,
      "utr_singles": 13.75,
      "utr_ranking": 528,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 392,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 528,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.6741176470588236,
    "utr_diff": 0.27999999999999936,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4908424908424909,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 82,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.399999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -16.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.41025641025641,
    "utr_advantage": 2.018745493871661,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.39934139025763526,
    "rank_advantage": 134,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.11148272017837257,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.995551839464888,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.8327759197324416,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.399999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.801254196838617,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.937746405386292,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.04451966446573423,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.81395348837209,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.1000000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1794871794871795,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 103,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06878260869565223,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1981025641025641,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.1860465116279144,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}