Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Mariano Kestelboim
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 20:00
12 Ene 2026, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Pedro …: 54,8%
Mariano …: 45,2%
¿Por qué Pedro Boscardin Dias?
UTR 13,98 vs 13,75
(+0,28)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pedro … | Mariano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,83 | 2,21 | 54,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Pedro …: -6,1%
Mariano …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Ranking
#268
UTR Rating
13,98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#392
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
29% (7p)
WR Clay
26/46 = 56,5%
Mariano Kestelboim
Ranking
#413
UTR Rating
13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#528
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
22/39 = 56,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 134,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4908 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3993 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 82,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 119,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,1115 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,1860 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1795 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,5217 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,4103 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,8140 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1304 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,9956 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8328 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -16,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 103,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,8013 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,9377 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0445 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0688 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1981 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6741 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,0187 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22374
API ID
15344354
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22374,
"api_id": 15344354,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Pedro Boscardin Dias",
"player2": "Mariano Kestelboim",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.38
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5478,
"prob_p2": 0.4522,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5478,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 268,
"utr_singles": 13.98,
"utr_ranking": 392,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 413,
"utr_singles": 13.75,
"utr_ranking": 528,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 392,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 528,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6741176470588236,
"utr_diff": 0.27999999999999936,
"rank_ratio": 1.4908424908424909,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 82,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.399999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -16.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.41025641025641,
"utr_advantage": 2.018745493871661,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 119,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.39934139025763526,
"rank_advantage": 134,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.11148272017837257,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 39,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.995551839464888,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8327759197324416,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.399999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.801254196838617,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.937746405386292,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.04451966446573423,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.81395348837209,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.1000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1794871794871795,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 103,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06878260869565223,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1981025641025641,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.1860465116279144,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}