Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gabi Adrian Boitan
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 21:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Santiago …: 37,0% Gabi …: 63,0%
¿Por qué Gabi Adrian Boitan?
UTR 13,94 vs 13,89 (+0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Santiago … Gabi … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,70 1,59 37,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Santiago …: -20,6% Gabi …: +20,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Ranking #227
UTR Rating 13,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #412
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Clay 22/44 = 50,0%
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Ranking #331
UTR Rating 13,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #437
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Clay 11/18 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 99,0000
rank_ratio 1,4420
log_rank_ratio 0,3660
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 93,0000
best_rank_diff 166,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,2727
surface_matches_ratio 2,4444
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 61,1111
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,6547
first_serve_won_diff 5,5000
second_serve_won_diff 3,1000
bp_saved_diff -0,3000
bp_converted_diff 9,5000
aces_per_match_diff 1,9874
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21,5200
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,4545
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,0667
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0990
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2101
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0800
utr_p1 0,7035
utr_p2 0,6941
utr_advantage 0,5739
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22376
API ID 15344360
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22376,
    "api_id": 15344360,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Santiago Rodriguez Taverna",
    "player2": "Gabi Adrian Boitan",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T17:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.37,
    "prob_p2": 0.63,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.63,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 227,
      "utr_singles": 13.94,
      "utr_ranking": 412,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 331,
      "utr_singles": 13.89,
      "utr_ranking": 437,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.94,
      "ranking": 412,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.89,
      "ranking": 437,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.703529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.6941176470588236,
    "utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4419642857142858,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 93,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.30000000000001137,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.3,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -48.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.111111111111114,
    "utr_advantage": 0.5738880918220951,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 166,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.36600627136761676,
    "rank_advantage": 99,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.111111111111114,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.654747474747467,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9873737373737372,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.499999999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.454546856003492,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.066736348529076,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.0999999999999943,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.4444444444444446,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.52,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09899999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21011111111111114,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.272727272727275,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}