Guilherme Valdoleiros vs Lars Goran Verwerft
UTR Carvoeiro M01 | Hard |
18 Ene 2026, 22:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lars Goran Verwerft
Guilherme …: 45,5% Lars …: 54,5%
¿Por qué Lars Goran Verwerft?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 — Niveles similares
Guilherme …
W37-L32
54% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W3
Lars …
W31-L22
58% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Guilherme … Lars … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,70 1,19 27,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,20 1,83 45,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1596
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Lars Goran Verwerft
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2059
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Record 2025 37W - 32L (54%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
W W W L L
Lars Goran Verwerft
Record 2025 31W - 22L (58%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Guilherme Valdoleiros viene en racha ganadora (3W) mientras Lars Goran Verwerft perdió 2 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 0,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 50,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22383
API ID 15336979
Gamdom ID 584595
Torneo UTR Carvoeiro M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22383,
    "api_id": 15336979,
    "gamdom_id": 584595,
    "player1": "Guilherme Valdoleiros",
    "player2": "Lars Goran Verwerft",
    "tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-18T18:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.7,
      "p2": 1.19
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.2,
      "p2": 1.2
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4549,
    "prob_p2": 0.5451,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5451,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1596,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 37,
      "utr_v4_losses": 32,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.62318840579711,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.27,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ignacio Ayuso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.72,
          "opponent_name": "Pedro Rodenas"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.43,
          "opponent_name": "Mikel Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.25,
          "opponent_name": "Nicholas David Ionel"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.93,
          "opponent_name": "Andrej Martin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:33.108100+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2059,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 31,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.490566037735846,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.14,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.75,
          "opponent_name": "Ibrahim Snoussi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.25,
          "opponent_name": "Mert Naci Turker"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.42,
          "opponent_name": "Valentin De Carvalho"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Natan Albertini"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.75,
          "opponent_name": "Ibrahim Snoussi"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:14.904631+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1596,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2059,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 50,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}