Kosuke Shibano vs Marcel Musil
UTR Yokohama M02 | Hard |
16 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kosuke Shibano
Kosuke …: 69,4% Marcel …: 30,7%
¿Por qué Kosuke Shibano?
UTR 12,36 vs 12,00 (+1,02) — Ligera ventaja
Kosuke …
Sin datos
Marcel …
W19-L12
61% WR
vs UTR 10,7
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kosuke … Marcel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,0%
Gamdom 1,04 6,60 96,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,26 69,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Kosuke …: -1,6% Marcel …: +1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kosuke Shibano
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #1673
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 56% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Marcel Musil
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3738
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kosuke Shibano
Sin datos UTR v4
Marcel Musil
Record 2025 19W - 12L (61%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,7
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 44,0000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,1389
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0200
utr_p1 0,4729
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 8,8619
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22464
API ID 15335202
Gamdom ID 583576
Torneo UTR Yokohama M02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22464,
    "api_id": 15335202,
    "gamdom_id": 583576,
    "player1": "Kosuke Shibano",
    "player2": "Marcel Musil",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-16T03:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3333333333333333,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.04,
      "p2": 6.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6935,
    "prob_p2": 0.3065,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6935,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.36,
      "utr_ranking": 1673,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3738,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 19,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.29032258064516,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.73,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nathan Schwartz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "James Pikkaart"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Y. Versloot"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Noa Tcherniack"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Brignacca"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.846460+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.36,
      "ranking": 1673,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3738,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 1.0199999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.861859252823628,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.138852160497441,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 44.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}