Sam Bakker vs Ryotaro Matsumura
UTR Yokohama M02 | Hard |
16 Ene 2026, 05:00
16 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryotaro Matsumura
Sam …: 20,6%
Ryotaro …: 79,4%
¿Por qué Ryotaro Matsumura?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,13
(-2,04)
— Ventaja clara
Sam …
Sin datos
Ryotaro …
W72-L16
82% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W6
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sam … | Ryotaro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 9,00 | 1,04 | 11,1% |
| Gamdom | 7,80 | 1,02 | 12,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,85 | 1,26 | 20,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sam …: +10,3%
Ryotaro …: -10,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sam Bakker
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#6530
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
25% (8p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Ryotaro Matsumura
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#986
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sam Bakker
Sin datos UTR v4
Ryotaro Matsumura
Record 2025
72W - 16L (82%)
Racha
6W
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -22,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,3105 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7910 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -2,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5929 | |
| utr_advantage | -16,9717 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22481
API ID
15335190
Gamdom ID
583596
Torneo
UTR Yokohama M02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22481,
"api_id": 15335190,
"gamdom_id": 583596,
"player1": "Sam Bakker",
"player2": "Ryotaro Matsumura",
"tournament": "UTR Yokohama M02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-16T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 9.0,
"p2": 1.04
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.8,
"p2": 1.02
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 12.89,
"p2": 1.02
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2062,
"prob_p2": 0.7938,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7938,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 6530,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.13,
"utr_ranking": 986,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 72,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 81.81818181818183,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.95,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Kotaro Mochizuki"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "takashi yoshida"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jacob Kailiang Shen"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Tokitaka Ito"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.548870+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 6530,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.13,
"ranking": 986,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.5929411764705881,
"utr_diff": -2.039999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -16.971713810316132,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.31051791435956,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.790992849406125,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -22.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}