Dorian Kos vs Yuga Tashiro
UTR Yokohama M02 | Hard |
13 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuga Tashiro
Dorian …: 30,6% Yuga …: 69,4%
¿Por qué Yuga Tashiro?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,00 (-1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Dorian …
W8-L22
27% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W1
Yuga …
W37-L16
70% WR
vs UTR 11,8
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dorian … Yuga … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,17 22,2%
Gamdom 5,60 1,07 17,9%
IA Fair Odds 3,26 1,44 30,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Dorian …: +10,0% Yuga …: -10,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dorian Kos
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6177
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Yuga Tashiro
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2355
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Dorian Kos
Record 2025 8W - 22L (27%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Yuga Tashiro
Record 2025 37W - 16L (70%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3776
serve_consistency_p2 7,5908
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0000
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage -8,6957
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22487
API ID 15335195
Gamdom ID 583601
Torneo UTR Yokohama M02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22487,
    "api_id": 15335195,
    "gamdom_id": 583601,
    "player1": "Dorian Kos",
    "player2": "Yuga Tashiro",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.1666666666666667
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.6,
      "p2": 1.07
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.59,
      "p2": 1.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3063,
    "prob_p2": 0.6937,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6937,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6177,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 8,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 26.666666666666668,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.69,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tim Malmqvist"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.82,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Matuszewski"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Thomas Edwards"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Orion Blackmore"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.37,
          "opponent_name": "Benjamin Pietri"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:04.468503+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2355,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 37,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 69.81132075471697,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.82,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Rin Kojima"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Christopher Kosei Ono"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ryuto Kizaki"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:06.171218+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6177,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2355,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -8.695652173913043,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.377569495427032,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.590840129249908,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}