Dorian Kos vs Ammar Elamin
UTR Yokohama M02 | Hard |
12 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ammar Elamin
Dorian …: 20,6% Ammar …: 79,4%
¿Por qué Ammar Elamin?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,65 (-1,61) — Ligera ventaja
Dorian …
W8-L22
27% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W1
Ammar …
W78-L29
73% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dorian … Ammar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,50 1,13 18,2%
Gamdom 7,80 1,02 12,8%
IA Fair Odds 4,86 1,26 20,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Dorian …: +3,6% Ammar …: -3,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dorian Kos
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6177
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Ammar Elamin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #1421
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Dorian Kos
Record 2025 8W - 22L (27%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Ammar Elamin
Record 2025 78W - 29L (73%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,5
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -36,0000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3776
serve_consistency_p2 12,2557
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,6100
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,5424
utr_advantage -13,6383
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22488
API ID 15335200
Gamdom ID 583577
Torneo UTR Yokohama M02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22488,
    "api_id": 15335200,
    "gamdom_id": 583577,
    "player1": "Dorian Kos",
    "player2": "Ammar Elamin",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-12T03:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.5,
      "p2": 1.125
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.8,
      "p2": 1.02
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.94,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2056,
    "prob_p2": 0.7944,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7944,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6177,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 8,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 26.666666666666668,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.69,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tim Malmqvist"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.82,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Matuszewski"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Thomas Edwards"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Orion Blackmore"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.37,
          "opponent_name": "Benjamin Pietri"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:04.468503+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.65,
      "utr_ranking": 1421,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 78,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 72.89719626168224,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.45,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Mihai Alexandru Coman"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Miles Groom"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Iulius Maximus Stoica"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.18,
          "opponent_name": "Vasile Antonescu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:18.437709+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6177,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.65,
      "ranking": 1421,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_diff": -1.6099999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -47.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -13.638288860652262,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.377569495427032,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.255712763100147,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -36.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}