Sara Gvozdenovic vs Yuliya Hatouka
UTR Carvoeiro W01 | Hard |
18 Ene 2026, 18:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuliya Hatouka
Sara …: 22,5% Yuliya …: 77,5%
¿Por qué Yuliya Hatouka?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,76 (-1,75) — Ligera ventaja
Sara …
W50-L55
48% WR
vs UTR 9,3
W1
Yuliya …
W30-L20
60% WR
vs UTR 10,2
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sara … Yuliya … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 8,20 1,01 12,2%
IA Fair Odds 4,45 1,29 22,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sara Gvozdenovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2946
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Yuliya Hatouka
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #637
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 89% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sara Gvozdenovic
Record 2025 50W - 55L (48%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,3
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Yuliya Hatouka
Record 2025 30W - 20L (60%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,2
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Análisis Momentum
Yuliya Hatouka ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,2 vs 9,3).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -22,5000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 23,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,9523
serve_consistency_p2 7,4290
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,7500
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,3235
utr_advantage -17,7215
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22523
API ID 15337097
Gamdom ID 584743
Torneo UTR Carvoeiro W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22523,
    "api_id": 15337097,
    "gamdom_id": 584743,
    "player1": "Sara Gvozdenovic",
    "player2": "Yuliya Hatouka",
    "tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-18T14:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.2,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 11.95,
      "p2": 1.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2249,
    "prob_p2": 0.7751,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7751,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2946,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 55,
      "utr_v4_wr": 47.61904761904761,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.28,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lucie Brun"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aleksandra Iankovskaia"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Olga Molchanova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Judith Hernandez Miranda"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emma Bousquet"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:29.508667+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.76,
      "utr_ranking": 637,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.19,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.13,
          "opponent_name": "Hibah Shaikh"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.38,
          "opponent_name": "Maddy Zampardo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.89,
          "opponent_name": "Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.2,
          "opponent_name": "Zoie Epps"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.77,
          "opponent_name": "Ziva Falkner"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:07.220873+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 88.88888888888889,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2946,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.76,
      "ranking": 637,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.3235294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -1.75,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -17.72151898734177,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.95226414592435,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.42895612761559,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -22.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}