Daria Budko vs Martina Okalova
UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01 | Hard |
12 Ene 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martina Okalova
Daria …: 23,1% Martina …: 76,9%
¿Por qué Martina Okalova?
UTR 8,00 vs 10,75 (-1,86) — Ligera ventaja
Daria …
W45-L27
62% WR
vs UTR 8,0
L1
Martina …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daria … Martina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 10,50 1,03 9,5%
Gamdom 7,60 1,00 13,2%
IA Fair Odds 4,33 1,30 23,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Daria …: +14,2% Martina …: -14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Budko
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 General
UTR Ranking #3711
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Martina Okalova
Ranking #417
UTR Rating 10,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #643
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Daria Budko
Record 2025 45W - 27L (63%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,0
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Martina Okalova
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -90,0000
rank_ratio 0,8200
log_rank_ratio -0,1985
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -145,0000
best_rank_diff -128,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -17,3460
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 32,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 78,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,1872
serve_consistency_p2 6,4949
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4100
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5900
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,8600
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,3365
utr_advantage -18,7311
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22540
API ID 15338387
Gamdom ID 586233
Torneo UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22540,
    "api_id": 15338387,
    "gamdom_id": 586233,
    "player1": "Daria Budko",
    "player2": "Martina Okalova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-12T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 10.5,
      "p2": 1.025
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.6,
      "p2": 1.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 9.01,
      "p2": 1.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2312,
    "prob_p2": 0.7688,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7688,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3711,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 45,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.5,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Caroline McGinley"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Avery Olsen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Olivia Dartawan"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sun Park"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emerson Jones"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.727850+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 417,
      "utr_singles": 10.75,
      "utr_ranking": 643,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 3711,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.75,
      "ranking": 643,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.3364705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -1.8599999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 0.82,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -145,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -18.731117824773406,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -128,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.19845093872383832,
    "rank_advantage": -90,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.187185915396029,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.494884505346662,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.346000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 32,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 78,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41000000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.59,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}