Lucia Fuduric vs Alina Shcherbinina
UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01 | Hard |
12 Ene 2026, 19:00
12 Ene 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alina Shcherbinina
Lucia …: 33,4%
Alina …: 66,6%
¿Por qué Alina Shcherbinina?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,00
(-1,00)
— Ligera ventaja
Lucia …
W23-L23
50% WR
vs UTR 8,0
L1
Alina …
W83-L24
78% WR
vs UTR 9,6
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lucia … | Alina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 10,00 | 1,03 | 10,0% |
| Gamdom | 7,84 | 0,99 | 12,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,00 | 1,50 | 33,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lucia …: +24,0%
Alina …: -24,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucia Fuduric
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3718
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Alina Shcherbinina
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#892
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Lucia Fuduric
Record 2025
23W - 23L (50%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
8,0
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
L
Alina Shcherbinina
Record 2025
83W - 24L (78%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,6
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Alina Shcherbinina ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,6 vs 8,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 11,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -11,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2938 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4378 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_advantage | -10,5263 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22541
API ID
15338378
Gamdom ID
586232
Torneo
UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22541,
"api_id": 15338378,
"gamdom_id": 586232,
"player1": "Lucia Fuduric",
"player2": "Alina Shcherbinina",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-12T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 10.0,
"p2": 1.0303030303030303
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.84,
"p2": 0.99
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 12.37,
"p2": 1.02
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3336,
"prob_p2": 0.6664,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6664,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 3718,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.03,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Margaux Devaul"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Annabelle Hirscht"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Gabriella Sadowski"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Aoife Loftus"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Sadira Ouyang"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:25.791117+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 892,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 83,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.57009345794393,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Emily Welker"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.83,
"opponent_name": "Alice Soulie"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ichino Horikawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Cl\u00e9mence Thouard"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ariana Gilbert"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:15.688843+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 3718,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 892,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_diff": -1.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 11,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -10.526315789473683,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -11,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.293837019359119,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.4377909498983925,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 28,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}