Sae Noguchi vs Kurumi Tamura
UTR Yokohama W02 | Hard |
16 Ene 2026, 05:00
16 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sae Noguchi
Sae …: 60,4%
Kurumi …: 39,6%
¿Por qué Sae Noguchi?
UTR 10,65 vs 10,00
(+0,67)
— Niveles similares
Sae …
W50-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 9,8
L1
Kurumi …
W33-L12
73% WR
vs UTR 9,1
W7
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sae … | Kurumi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,24 | 2,99 | 80,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,66 | 2,53 | 60,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sae …: -10,5%
Kurumi …: +10,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sae Noguchi
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#708
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Kurumi Tamura
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1663
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sae Noguchi
Record 2025
50W - 20L (71%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Kurumi Tamura
Record 2025
33W - 12L (73%)
Racha
7W
UTR Oponentes
9,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Kurumi Tamura en racha: 7 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,1067 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 33,8200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 41,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 42,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 40,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 33,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 45,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 16,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2852 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8879 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,4828 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22554
API ID
15335274
Gamdom ID
583628
Torneo
UTR Yokohama W02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22554,
"api_id": 15335274,
"gamdom_id": 583628,
"player1": "Sae Noguchi",
"player2": "Kurumi Tamura",
"tournament": "UTR Yokohama W02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-16T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 2.99
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.2
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6041,
"prob_p2": 0.3959,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6041,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.65,
"utr_ranking": 708,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 50,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.8,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.73,
"opponent_name": "Mayuka Aikawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.57,
"opponent_name": "Ayumi Miyamoto"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.93,
"opponent_name": "Natsumi Kawaguchi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Konoha Kawasaki"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.1,
"opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:26.667487+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 1663,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 33,
"utr_v4_losses": 12,
"utr_v4_wr": 73.33333333333333,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 7,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.07,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Azusa Ishii"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Kokoro Ishikawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Miyu Kato"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Minori Natsuka"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Catholine Miyu Ono"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:13.496088+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.65,
"ranking": 708,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 1663,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3141176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.6699999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 40.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 59.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 6.482825350749878,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 33.3,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 33.82,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 41.9,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.285213267720882,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.887938301282484,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 42.9,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 45.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}