Sae Noguchi vs Natsuho Arakawa
UTR Yokohama W02 | Hard |
13 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sae Noguchi
Sae …: 68,9% Natsuho …: 31,1%
¿Por qué Sae Noguchi?
UTR 10,65 vs 9,63 (+0,91) — Niveles similares
Sae …
W50-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 9,8
L1
Natsuho …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sae … Natsuho … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,45 3,21 68,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sae Noguchi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #708
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 86% (7p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Natsuho Arakawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #1221
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sae Noguchi
Record 2025 50W - 20L (71%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,8
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Natsuho Arakawa
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 33,8200
first_serve_won_diff 41,9000
second_serve_won_diff 42,9000
bp_saved_diff 40,0000
bp_converted_diff 33,3000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 62,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 46,5000
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 16,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2852
serve_consistency_p2 11,2673
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,9100
utr_p1 0,3141
utr_p2 0,2071
utr_advantage 8,9085
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22555
API ID 15335300
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR Yokohama W02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22555,
    "api_id": 15335300,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sae Noguchi",
    "player2": "Natsuho Arakawa",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama W02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-13T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6887,
    "prob_p2": 0.3113,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6887,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.65,
      "utr_ranking": 708,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.8,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.73,
          "opponent_name": "Mayuka Aikawa"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.57,
          "opponent_name": "Ayumi Miyamoto"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.93,
          "opponent_name": "Natsumi Kawaguchi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Konoha Kawasaki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.1,
          "opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:26.667487+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.63,
      "utr_ranking": 1221,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.65,
      "ranking": 708,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.63,
      "ranking": 1221,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3141176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.20705882352941174,
    "utr_diff": 0.9100000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 40.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 61.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.908467939304945,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 33.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 33.82,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 41.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.285213267720882,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.267292443924617,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 42.9,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 46.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}