Mua Shigeta vs Yuka Matsumoto
UTR Yokohama W02 | Hard |
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mua Shigeta
Mua …: 69,5% Yuka …: 30,5%
¿Por qué Mua Shigeta?
UTR 9,00 vs 8,00 (+1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Mua …
W42-L40
51% WR
vs UTR 9,1
W1
Yuka …
W28-L29
49% WR
vs UTR 8,9
W2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mua … Yuka … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,27 2,89 78,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,28 69,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Mua …: +0,8% Yuka …: -0,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mua Shigeta
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2949
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Yuka Matsumoto
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 General
UTR Ranking #4861
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mua Shigeta
Record 2025 42W - 40L (51%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,1
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Yuka Matsumoto
Record 2025 28W - 29L (49%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 8,9
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Análisis Momentum
Mua Shigeta ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,1 vs 8,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 42,5000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,2756
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0000
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 11,7647
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22575
API ID 15335280
Gamdom ID 583609
Torneo UTR Yokohama W02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22575,
    "api_id": 15335280,
    "gamdom_id": 583609,
    "player1": "Mua Shigeta",
    "player2": "Yuka Matsumoto",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama W02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 2.89
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6951,
    "prob_p2": 0.3049,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6951,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2949,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 40,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.08,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Elizaveta Gurianova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.48,
          "opponent_name": "Yuzuha Negishi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.75,
          "opponent_name": "Minami Suzuki"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nagisa Suzuki"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.1,
          "opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:54.956589+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4861,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 28,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 49.122807017543856,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Natsuki Yamagami"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Natsumi NAKADATE"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Miku Kitaoka"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Amane Hattori"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aya Otsuka"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:06.628869+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2949,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 4861,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 39.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.76470588235294,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.27555715848998,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 42.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}