Nana Kawagishi vs Mua Shigeta
UTR Yokohama W02 | Hard |
16 Ene 2026, 07:15
16 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nana Kawagishi
Nana …: 69,9%
Mua …: 30,1%
¿Por qué Nana Kawagishi?
UTR 10,03 vs 9,00
(+1,03)
— Ligera ventaja
Nana …
W24-L30
44% WR
vs UTR 9,9
L1
Mua …
W42-L40
51% WR
vs UTR 9,1
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nana … | Mua … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,29 | 3,50 | 77,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,23 | 3,14 | 81,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,32 | 69,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nana …: -3,2%
Mua …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nana Kawagishi
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1029
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Mua Shigeta
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2949
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nana Kawagishi
Record 2025
24W - 30L (44%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
L
Mua Shigeta
Record 2025
42W - 40L (51%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,1
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,6303 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,2756 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_advantage | 10,8250 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22577
API ID
15335283
Gamdom ID
583631
Torneo
UTR Yokohama W02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22577,
"api_id": 15335283,
"gamdom_id": 583631,
"player1": "Nana Kawagishi",
"player2": "Mua Shigeta",
"tournament": "UTR Yokohama W02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-16T03:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2857142857142856,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 3.14
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6991,
"prob_p2": 0.3009,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6991,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.03,
"utr_ranking": 1029,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 24,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.85,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.77,
"opponent_name": "Yuhan Wang"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.97,
"opponent_name": "Lunda Kumhom"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.37,
"opponent_name": "Ulyana Hrabavets"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.31,
"opponent_name": "Merel Hoedt"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.37,
"opponent_name": "Ulyana Hrabavets"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.255921+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2949,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 42,
"utr_v4_losses": 40,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.08,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Elizaveta Gurianova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.48,
"opponent_name": "Yuzuha Negishi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.75,
"opponent_name": "Minami Suzuki"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Nagisa Suzuki"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.1,
"opponent_name": "Anri Nagata"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:54.956589+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.03,
"ranking": 1029,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2949,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.23882352941176463,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.0299999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -27.99999999999997,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 10.825013137151858,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.630335145631099,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.27555715848998,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}