Adrian Mannarino vs Eliot Spizzirri
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adrian Mannarino
Adrian …: 56,5% Eliot …: 43,5%
¿Por qué Adrian Mannarino?
UTR 15,37 vs 15,16 (+0,41) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Adrian … Eliot … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,44 1,56 41,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,77 2,30 56,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Adrian …: +11,4% Eliot …: -11,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #41
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/36 = 41,7%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 21,0000
rank_ratio 1,3088
log_rank_ratio 0,2691
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 145,0000
best_rank_diff 70,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -19,6970
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -17,9167
surface_matches_ratio 0,8182
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 61,3636
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,4167
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,9984
first_serve_won_diff -0,1432
second_serve_won_diff -0,5977
bp_saved_diff 5,5924
bp_converted_diff 1,6250
aces_per_match_diff -0,3737
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff -72,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -63,5550
current_streak_diff -7,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7532
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9677
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0909
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7391
serve_consistency_p1 8,3485
serve_consistency_p2 5,1786
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,3010
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1043
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1346
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4100
utr_p1 0,8882
utr_p2 0,8400
utr_advantage 2,6719
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22589
API ID 15345144
Gamdom ID 589517
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22589,
    "api_id": 15345144,
    "gamdom_id": 589517,
    "player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
    "player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-11T22:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.44,
      "p2": 1.56
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.35,
      "p2": 1.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5653,
    "prob_p2": 0.4347,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5653,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 15.37,
      "utr_ranking": 41,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.37,
      "ranking": 41,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3088235294117647,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 145,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.592424242424258,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -72.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
    "utr_advantage": 2.671880091234931,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 70,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2691286645560331,
    "rank_advantage": 21,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.09090909090909091,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -19.696969696969695,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.625000000000007,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.9983838383838446,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7531645569620253,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967741935483871,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.3737373737373737,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -7,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.14318181818183007,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.348491899892428,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.178614603075557,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.301019150346106,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.5977272727272691,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8181818181818182,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -63.55500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10433333333333328,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13463636363636367,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.916666666666664,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}