Adrian Mannarino vs Eliot Spizzirri
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 02:30
12 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adrian Mannarino
Adrian …: 56,5%
Eliot …: 43,5%
¿Por qué Adrian Mannarino?
UTR 15,37 vs 15,16
(+0,41)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adrian … | Eliot … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,44 | 1,56 | 41,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,77 | 2,30 | 56,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Adrian …: +11,4%
Eliot …: -11,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3088 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2691 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 145,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 70,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,6970 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17,9167 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8182 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,9984 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,1432 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,5977 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,5924 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,6250 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3737 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -72,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -63,5550 | |
| current_streak_diff | -7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7532 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9677 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0909 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7391 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3485 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,1786 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,3010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1043 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1346 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6719 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22589
API ID
15345144
Gamdom ID
589517
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22589,
"api_id": 15345144,
"gamdom_id": 589517,
"player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
"player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-11T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.44,
"p2": 1.56
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.35,
"p2": 1.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5653,
"prob_p2": 0.4347,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5653,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.37,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.3088235294117647,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 145,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.592424242424258,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -72.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
"utr_advantage": 2.671880091234931,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 70,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2691286645560331,
"rank_advantage": 21,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.09090909090909091,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.696969696969695,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.625000000000007,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.9983838383838446,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7531645569620253,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967741935483871,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.3737373737373737,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -7,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.14318181818183007,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.348491899892428,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.178614603075557,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.301019150346106,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.5977272727272691,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8181818181818182,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -63.55500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10433333333333328,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13463636363636367,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.916666666666664,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}