Cameron Norrie vs Hugo Gaston
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 09:00
12 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Cameron …: 65,9%
Hugo …: 34,2%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 15,38 vs 14,71
(+0,92)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cameron … | Hugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,40 | 75,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,45 | 2,80 | 69,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,52 | 2,93 | 65,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cameron …: -6,0%
Hugo …: +6,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/37 = 51,4%
Hugo Gaston
Ranking
#93
UTR Rating
14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#125
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
24/39 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 66,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,3571 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2111 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 870,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 50,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,1871 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,2456 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9487 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,4651 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0270 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,5789 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,4147 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,5320 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,1139 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,2378 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8060 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,8400 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0068 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1471 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2468 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6304 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -12,3375 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0525 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1814 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -10,1871 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7824 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,0887 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22590
API ID
15345145
Gamdom ID
589518
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22590,
"api_id": 15345145,
"gamdom_id": 589518,
"player1": "Cameron Norrie",
"player2": "Hugo Gaston",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.45,
"p2": 2.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6585,
"prob_p2": 0.3415,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6585,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.38,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 93,
"utr_singles": 14.71,
"utr_ranking": 125,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 36,
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},
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"ranking": 125,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.9199999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 3.357142857142857,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 870,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.11386001386002,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.53846153846154,
"utr_advantage": 6.088682991396426,
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"best_rank_diff": 50,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2110902720948,
"rank_advantage": 66,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.187110187110193,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.237768537768538,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 39,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.578870408870408,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0068493150684932,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1470588235294117,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8059598059598057,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.41469161469160554,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.246839265150884,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.630360033377606,
"surface_rank_synergy": -12.337510048366992,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.46511627906976,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.532016632016628,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9487179487179487,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.840000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -10.187110187110193,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05248648648648657,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18138461538461548,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.24560408394781,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {}
}