Cameron Norrie vs Hugo Gaston
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Cameron …: 65,9% Hugo …: 34,2%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 15,38 vs 14,71 (+0,92) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cameron … Hugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,40 75,2%
Gamdom 1,45 2,80 69,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,52 2,93 65,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Cameron …: -6,0% Hugo …: +6,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/37 = 51,4%
Hugo Gaston
Ranking #93
UTR Rating 14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #125
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 24/39 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 66,0000
rank_ratio 3,3571
log_rank_ratio 1,2111
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 870,0000
best_rank_diff 50,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,1871
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,2456
surface_matches_ratio 0,9487
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,3514
surface_wr_p2 61,5385
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2195
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,4651
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0270
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,5789
first_serve_won_diff 0,4147
second_serve_won_diff 2,5320
bp_saved_diff 6,1139
bp_converted_diff -7,2378
aces_per_match_diff 1,8060
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff -32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,8400
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0068
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1471
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8333
serve_consistency_p1 8,2468
serve_consistency_p2 8,6304
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -12,3375
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0525
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1814
elite_surface_amplifier -10,1871
UTR
utr_diff 0,9200
utr_p1 0,8906
utr_p2 0,7824
utr_advantage 6,0887
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22590
API ID 15345145
Gamdom ID 589518
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22590,
    "api_id": 15345145,
    "gamdom_id": 589518,
    "player1": "Cameron Norrie",
    "player2": "Hugo Gaston",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6585,
    "prob_p2": 0.3415,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6585,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.38,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 93,
      "utr_singles": 14.71,
      "utr_ranking": 125,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.38,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.71,
      "ranking": 125,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7823529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.9199999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 3.357142857142857,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 870,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.11386001386002,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.53846153846154,
    "utr_advantage": 6.088682991396426,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 50,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2110902720948,
    "rank_advantage": 66,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.187110187110193,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.237768537768538,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.578870408870408,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0068493150684932,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1470588235294117,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.8059598059598057,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.41469161469160554,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.246839265150884,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.630360033377606,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -12.337510048366992,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.46511627906976,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.532016632016628,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9487179487179487,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.840000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -10.187110187110193,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05248648648648657,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18138461538461548,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.24560408394781,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}