Hamad Medjedovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hamad Medjedovic
Hamad …: 71,0% Aleksandar …: 29,0%
¿Por qué Hamad Medjedovic?
UTR 15,24 vs 14,80 (+0,73) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hamad … Aleksandar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,48 2,70 67,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,41 3,45 71,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Hamad …: +18,4% Aleksandar …: -18,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking #90
UTR Rating 15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #58
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 18/30 = 60,0%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #127
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/46 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -22,0000
rank_ratio 0,7250
log_rank_ratio -0,3216
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -159,0000
best_rank_diff 1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,8261
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,8235
surface_matches_ratio 0,6522
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 52,1739
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,8235
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,2208
first_serve_won_diff -1,9417
second_serve_won_diff 2,8226
bp_saved_diff 2,7104
bp_converted_diff 10,1574
aces_per_match_diff 0,6725
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,1990
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2381
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5294
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4500
serve_consistency_p1 8,4340
serve_consistency_p2 9,8390
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,5167
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1220
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0003
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7300
utr_p1 0,8635
utr_p2 0,7776
utr_advantage 4,8748
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22592
API ID 15345142
Gamdom ID 589519
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22592,
    "api_id": 15345142,
    "gamdom_id": 589519,
    "player1": "Hamad Medjedovic",
    "player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T03:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.71,
    "prob_p2": 0.29,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.71,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 90,
      "utr_singles": 15.24,
      "utr_ranking": 58,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.24,
      "ranking": 58,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.7776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.7300000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 0.725,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -159,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.7104347826087007,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 12.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
    "utr_advantage": 4.874791318864777,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.32158362412746233,
    "rank_advantage": -22,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.826086956521742,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.157391304347826,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.220840579710142,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2380952380952381,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.672463768115942,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.941739130434783,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.434020756085015,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.838977992392401,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.5167414062149236,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8226086956521783,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6521739130434783,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.198999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.122,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0002608695652174253,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.82352941176471,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}