Hamad Medjedovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 07:15
13 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hamad Medjedovic
Hamad …: 71,0%
Aleksandar …: 29,0%
¿Por qué Hamad Medjedovic?
UTR 15,24 vs 14,80
(+0,73)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hamad … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,48 | 2,70 | 67,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,41 | 3,45 | 71,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hamad …: +18,4%
Aleksandar …: -18,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking
#90
UTR Rating
15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
18/30 = 60,0%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3216 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -159,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,8261 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,8235 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6522 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,2208 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,9417 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8226 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,7104 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,1574 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6725 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,1990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2381 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4340 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,8390 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,5167 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0003 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7776 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,8748 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22592
API ID
15345142
Gamdom ID
589519
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22592,
"api_id": 15345142,
"gamdom_id": 589519,
"player1": "Hamad Medjedovic",
"player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T03:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.71,
"prob_p2": 0.29,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.71,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 90,
"utr_singles": 15.24,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.24,
"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8635294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.7776470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.7300000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 0.725,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -159,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.7104347826087007,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 12.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
"utr_advantage": 4.874791318864777,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.32158362412746233,
"rank_advantage": -22,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.826086956521742,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.157391304347826,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 46,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.220840579710142,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2380952380952381,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.672463768115942,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.941739130434783,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.434020756085015,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.838977992392401,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.5167414062149236,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.8226086956521783,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6521739130434783,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.198999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.122,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0002608695652174253,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.82352941176471,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}