Renata Zarazua vs Hailey Baptiste
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 04:00
12 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hailey Baptiste
Renata …: 27,0%
Hailey …: 73,0%
¿Por qué Hailey Baptiste?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,03
(-0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Renata … | Hailey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,85 | 2,00 | 54,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,70 | 1,37 | 27,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Renata …: -27,8%
Hailey …: +27,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Renata Zarazua
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/26 = 46,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8442 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1694 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -135,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,8462 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,8889 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1538 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,7515 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,3077 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,7615 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,4308 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,1692 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3846 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 78,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 60,5600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5200 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6339 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2792 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0571 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6516 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0649 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0505 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4953 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,2361 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22597
API ID
15345845
Gamdom ID
589985
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22597,
"api_id": 15345845,
"gamdom_id": 589985,
"player1": "Renata Zarazua",
"player2": "Hailey Baptiste",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.85,
"p2": 2.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 1.99
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2703,
"prob_p2": 0.7297,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7297,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.08,
"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.03,
"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.49529411764705894,
"utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 0.8441558441558441,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -135,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.43076923076923,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 78.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.15384615384615,
"utr_advantage": -1.2360939431396814,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1694181519580468,
"rank_advantage": -12,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.8461538461538467,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.169230769230779,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.751538461538459,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.52,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6339285714285714,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.384615384615385,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.3076923076923,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.279244785990588,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.057137454967533,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6516082767617185,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.761538461538464,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 60.56,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06492307692307692,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0504615384615385,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.888888888888885,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}