Renata Zarazua vs Hailey Baptiste
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hailey Baptiste
Renata …: 27,0% Hailey …: 73,0%
¿Por qué Hailey Baptiste?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,03 (-0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Renata … Hailey … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,85 2,00 54,1%
IA Fair Odds 3,70 1,37 27,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Renata …: -27,8% Hailey …: +27,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Renata Zarazua
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking #70
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/26 = 46,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -12,0000
rank_ratio 0,8442
log_rank_ratio -0,1694
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -135,0000
best_rank_diff -4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,8462
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,8889
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 46,1538
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,6667
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,7515
first_serve_won_diff -10,3077
second_serve_won_diff -2,7615
bp_saved_diff -8,4308
bp_converted_diff 4,1692
aces_per_match_diff -3,3846
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 78,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 60,5600
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5200
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6339
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 5,2792
serve_consistency_p2 6,0571
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6516
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0649
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0505
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1500
utr_p1 0,4776
utr_p2 0,4953
utr_advantage -1,2361
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22597
API ID 15345845
Gamdom ID 589985
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22597,
    "api_id": 15345845,
    "gamdom_id": 589985,
    "player1": "Renata Zarazua",
    "player2": "Hailey Baptiste",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.85,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.99
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2703,
    "prob_p2": 0.7297,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7297,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 84,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.03,
      "ranking": 84,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.49529411764705894,
    "utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8441558441558441,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -135,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.43076923076923,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 78.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.15384615384615,
    "utr_advantage": -1.2360939431396814,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1694181519580468,
    "rank_advantage": -12,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.8461538461538467,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.169230769230779,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.751538461538459,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.52,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6339285714285714,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.384615384615385,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.3076923076923,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.279244785990588,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.057137454967533,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6516082767617185,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.761538461538464,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 60.56,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06492307692307692,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0504615384615385,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.888888888888885,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}