Ayano Shimizu vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ayano …: 8,0%
Elisabetta …: 92,0%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 10,89 vs 12,14
(-1,29)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ayano … | Elisabetta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 5,50 | 1,14 | 18,2% |
| Gamdom | 7,00 | 1,11 | 14,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 12,45 | 1,09 | 8,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ayano …: -9,1%
Elisabetta …: +9,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ayano Shimizu
Ranking
#397
UTR Rating
10,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#568
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -330,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1971 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6241 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -692,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -146,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,9118 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -49,2110 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -61,3900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -53,0533 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -53,8600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -45,9867 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,7200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5733 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,1940 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8603 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 75,7934 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1700 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3633 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -11,2516 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22598
API ID
15345843
Gamdom ID
589987
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22598,
"api_id": 15345843,
"gamdom_id": 589987,
"player1": "Ayano Shimizu",
"player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T03:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 5.5,
"p2": 1.1400000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.11
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.65,
"p2": 1.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0803,
"prob_p2": 0.9197,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9197,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 397,
"utr_singles": 10.89,
"utr_ranking": 568,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 568,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": -1.2899999999999991,
"rank_ratio": 0.19708029197080293,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -692,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -53.86,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": -11.251635412123848,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -146,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6241440598237957,
"rank_advantage": -330,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -46.666666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": -45.986666666666665,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -49.211000000000006,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -61.39,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.194021762885319,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.860333599846226,
"surface_rank_synergy": 75.7933894584438,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": -53.053333333333335,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.719999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17000000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.36333333333333334,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.9117647058823555,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}