Ayano Shimizu vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ayano …: 8,0% Elisabetta …: 92,0%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 10,89 vs 12,14 (-1,29) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ayano … Elisabetta … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,50 1,14 18,2%
Gamdom 7,00 1,11 14,3%
IA Fair Odds 12,45 1,09 8,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Ayano …: -9,1% Elisabetta …: +9,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ayano Shimizu
Ranking #397
UTR Rating 10,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #568
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -330,0000
rank_ratio 0,1971
log_rank_ratio -1,6241
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -692,0000
best_rank_diff -146,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -46,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,9118
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,0588
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -49,2110
first_serve_won_diff -61,3900
second_serve_won_diff -53,0533
bp_saved_diff -53,8600
bp_converted_diff -45,9867
aces_per_match_diff -1,3000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,7200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5733
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1429
serve_consistency_p1 6,1940
serve_consistency_p2 7,8603
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 75,7934
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1700
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3633
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2900
utr_p1 0,3318
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -11,2516
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22598
API ID 15345843
Gamdom ID 589987
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22598,
    "api_id": 15345843,
    "gamdom_id": 589987,
    "player1": "Ayano Shimizu",
    "player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T03:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.5,
      "p2": 1.1400000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.0,
      "p2": 1.11
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.65,
      "p2": 1.1
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.0803,
    "prob_p2": 0.9197,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9197,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 397,
      "utr_singles": 10.89,
      "utr_ranking": 568,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.89,
      "ranking": 568,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.14,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.33176470588235296,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -1.2899999999999991,
    "rank_ratio": 0.19708029197080293,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -692,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -53.86,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": -11.251635412123848,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -146,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6241440598237957,
    "rank_advantage": -330,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -46.666666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": -45.986666666666665,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -49.211000000000006,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -61.39,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.194021762885319,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.860333599846226,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 75.7933894584438,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -53.053333333333335,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.719999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17000000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.36333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.9117647058823555,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}