Katie Volynets vs Ann Li
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 06:45
12 Ene 2026, 06:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ann Li
Katie …: 28,2%
Ann …: 71,8%
¿Por qué Ann Li?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,31
(-0,33)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katie … | Ann … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,84 | 2,01 | 54,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,55 | 1,39 | 28,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Katie …: -17,0%
Ann …: +17,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Volynets
Ranking
#96
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#115
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/36 = 58,3%
Ann Li
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#40
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -59,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3854 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9534 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -551,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -23,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,7576 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,7432 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0909 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,7568 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,2136 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,4318 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 40,6390 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4423 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8624 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8505 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,8624 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7223 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1423 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0168 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,7172 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22599
API ID
15345841
Gamdom ID
589973
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22599,
"api_id": 15345841,
"gamdom_id": 589973,
"player1": "Katie Volynets",
"player2": "Ann Li",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.84,
"p2": 2.01
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.81,
"p2": 1.97
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2816,
"prob_p2": 0.7184,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7184,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 96,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 115,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 40,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 115,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.31,
"ranking": 40,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
"utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.3854166666666667,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -551,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.099999999999987,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 47.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
"utr_advantage": -2.7171675586661186,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -23,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.9534302788236118,
"rank_advantage": -59,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.7575757575757578,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.699999999999996,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.213636363636368,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4423076923076923,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8623853211009175,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.4318181818181817,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.900000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.850510681452452,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.862350068199005,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7222956657754637,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.49999999999999,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0909090909090908,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 40.638999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14233333333333342,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.01675757575757575,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.743243243243235,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}