Katie Volynets vs Ann Li
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 06:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ann Li
Katie …: 28,2% Ann …: 71,8%
¿Por qué Ann Li?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,31 (-0,33) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Katie … Ann … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 1,84 2,01 54,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,55 1,39 28,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Katie …: -17,0% Ann …: +17,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Volynets
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/36 = 58,3%
Ann Li
Ranking #38
UTR Rating 12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #40
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -59,0000
rank_ratio 0,3854
log_rank_ratio -0,9534
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -551,0000
best_rank_diff -23,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,7576
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,7432
surface_matches_ratio 1,0909
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,3333
surface_wr_p2 57,5758
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,7568
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,2136
first_serve_won_diff -8,9000
second_serve_won_diff -3,0000
bp_saved_diff 7,1000
bp_converted_diff 6,7000
aces_per_match_diff -3,4318
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 40,6390
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4423
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8624
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2222
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 4,8505
serve_consistency_p2 10,8624
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7223
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1423
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0168
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3300
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,5071
utr_advantage -2,7172
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22599
API ID 15345841
Gamdom ID 589973
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22599,
    "api_id": 15345841,
    "gamdom_id": 589973,
    "player1": "Katie Volynets",
    "player2": "Ann Li",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T02:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.84,
      "p2": 2.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.81,
      "p2": 1.97
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2816,
    "prob_p2": 0.7184,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7184,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 38,
      "utr_singles": 12.31,
      "utr_ranking": 40,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.31,
      "ranking": 40,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3854166666666667,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -551,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.099999999999987,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 47.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
    "utr_advantage": -2.7171675586661186,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -23,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9534302788236118,
    "rank_advantage": -59,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2222222222222222,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.7575757575757578,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.699999999999996,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.213636363636368,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4423076923076923,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8623853211009175,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.4318181818181817,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.900000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.850510681452452,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.862350068199005,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7222956657754637,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.49999999999999,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0909090909090908,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 40.638999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14233333333333342,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.01675757575757575,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.743243243243235,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}