Catherine McNally vs Solana Sierra
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 08:45
12 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Catherine McNally
Catherine …: 58,6%
Solana …: 41,4%
¿Por qué Catherine McNally?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Catherine … | Solana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,41 | 3,00 | 70,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,71 | 2,41 | 58,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Catherine …: -7,1%
Solana …: +7,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Catherine McNally
Ranking
#85
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7952 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2292 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -142,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,5238 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,4830 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,8595 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,0286 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,6429 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,9571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,8714 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6905 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 37,8700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4648 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,4410 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0673 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,1827 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0408 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0884 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22600
API ID
15345842
Gamdom ID
589988
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22600,
"api_id": 15345842,
"gamdom_id": 589988,
"player1": "Catherine McNally",
"player2": "Solana Sierra",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 3.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 2.96
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5858,
"prob_p2": 0.4142,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5858,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7951807228915663,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -142,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.957142857142856,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.38095238095239,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.22918586577017236,
"rank_advantage": -17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.523809523809533,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.871428571428574,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.8595238095238145,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4647887323943662,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6904761904761907,
"combined_confidence": 0.5933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.028571428571425,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.047619047619047616,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.44100373986759,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.06728280698814,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.182722531144501,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.6428571428571388,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 37.870000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04080952380952385,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08842857142857147,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.482962962962963,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}