Alexis Galarneau vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nishesh Basavareddy
Alexis …: 19,5%
Nishesh …: 80,5%
¿Por qué Nishesh Basavareddy?
UTR 14,19 vs 15,04
(-0,98)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexis … | Nishesh … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,22 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 4,60 | 1,20 | 21,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,13 | 1,24 | 19,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexis …: -3,9%
Nishesh …: +3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexis Galarneau
Ranking
#214
UTR Rating
14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#292
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
29/51 = 56,9%
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking
#242
UTR Rating
15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8075 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2138 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -64,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,1060 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,2661 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3784 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,8627 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0976 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1373 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,6628 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,1070 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0730 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,2335 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1874 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5437 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,8250 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 69,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6471 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6201 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3605 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,0227 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1096 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0266 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8435 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,6757 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22601
API ID
15345382
Gamdom ID
589643
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22601,
"api_id": 15345382,
"gamdom_id": 589643,
"player1": "Alexis Galarneau",
"player2": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.2222222222222223
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.6,
"p2": 1.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.43,
"p2": 1.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1951,
"prob_p2": 0.8049,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8049,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 214,
"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 292,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.86274509803921,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 51,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 242,
"utr_singles": 15.04,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.19,
"ranking": 292,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.04,
"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.728235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.8435294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.9800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 0.8075117370892019,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -64,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.2335453100158915,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -7.9999999999999964,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.86274509803921,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.75675675675676,
"utr_advantage": -6.675749318801093,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -54,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.21379768889597206,
"rank_advantage": -41,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.10598834128245471,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.18744038155803366,
"p1_surface_matches": 51,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.6628298887122313,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5437201907790143,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.1069952305246176,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13725490196078433,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.620106010300719,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.360494198037522,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.022660062416106366,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.36363636363636,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.09756097560976,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.07297297297297689,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3783783783783783,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.825000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 69,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10962745098039217,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.026567567567567507,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.2660753880266,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}