Alexis Galarneau vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nishesh Basavareddy
Alexis …: 19,5% Nishesh …: 80,5%
¿Por qué Nishesh Basavareddy?
UTR 14,19 vs 15,04 (-0,98) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexis … Nishesh … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,22 25,0%
Gamdom 4,60 1,20 21,7%
IA Fair Odds 5,13 1,24 19,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexis …: -3,9% Nishesh …: +3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexis Galarneau
Ranking #214
UTR Rating 14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #292
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 29/51 = 56,9%
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking #242
UTR Rating 15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -41,0000
rank_ratio 0,8075
log_rank_ratio -0,2138
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -64,0000
best_rank_diff -54,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,1060
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,2661
surface_matches_ratio 1,3784
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,8627
surface_wr_p2 56,7568
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,3636
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0976
p1_surface_matches 51,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1373
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,6628
first_serve_won_diff -3,1070
second_serve_won_diff -0,0730
bp_saved_diff 1,2335
bp_converted_diff -0,1874
aces_per_match_diff -0,5437
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -9,8250
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 69,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6471
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 4,6201
serve_consistency_p2 12,3605
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0227
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1096
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0266
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,9800
utr_p1 0,7282
utr_p2 0,8435
utr_advantage -6,6757
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22601
API ID 15345382
Gamdom ID 589643
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22601,
    "api_id": 15345382,
    "gamdom_id": 589643,
    "player1": "Alexis Galarneau",
    "player2": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.2222222222222223
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.6,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.43,
      "p2": 1.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1951,
    "prob_p2": 0.8049,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8049,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 214,
      "utr_singles": 14.19,
      "utr_ranking": 292,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.86274509803921,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 51,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 242,
      "utr_singles": 15.04,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.19,
      "ranking": 292,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.04,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.728235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.8435294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.9800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8075117370892019,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -64,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.2335453100158915,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -7.9999999999999964,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.86274509803921,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.75675675675676,
    "utr_advantage": -6.675749318801093,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -54,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.21379768889597206,
    "rank_advantage": -41,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.10598834128245471,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.18744038155803366,
    "p1_surface_matches": 51,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.6628298887122313,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5437201907790143,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.1069952305246176,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13725490196078433,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.620106010300719,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.360494198037522,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.022660062416106366,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.36363636363636,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.09756097560976,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.07297297297297689,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3783783783783783,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.825000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 69,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10962745098039217,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.026567567567567507,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.2660753880266,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}