Jack Pinnington Jones vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jack Pinnington Jones
Jack …: 74,5%
Gilles …: 25,5%
¿Por qué Jack Pinnington Jones?
UTR 14,52 vs 14,10
(+0,48)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jack … | Gilles … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,63 | 2,29 | 61,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,92 | 74,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jack …: +16,9%
Gilles …: -16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Pinnington Jones
Ranking
#197
UTR Rating
14,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#168
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Ranking
#208
UTR Rating
14,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#334
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0199 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0197 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,0242 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 9,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 39,3773 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 55,9178 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 64,8333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 54,6333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 54,5333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 38,7333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,5556 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 59,1837 | |
| momentum_diff | -39,1837 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -37,7276 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 145,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 88,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4586 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,5095 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6568 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1707 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4960 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7129 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3566 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22603
API ID
15345412
Gamdom ID
589627
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22603,
"api_id": 15345412,
"gamdom_id": 589627,
"player1": "Jack Pinnington Jones",
"player2": "Gilles Arnaud Bailly",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.63,
"p2": 2.29
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7452,
"prob_p2": 0.2548,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7452,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 197,
"utr_singles": 14.52,
"utr_ranking": 168,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 208,
"utr_singles": 14.1,
"utr_ranking": 334,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.52,
"ranking": 168,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.1,
"ranking": 334,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7129411764705883,
"utr_diff": 0.47999999999999865,
"rank_ratio": 1.0199004975124377,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
"points_diff": 4,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 54.53333333333333,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.55,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -39.183673469387756,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 3.356643356643347,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.019705071079332337,
"rank_advantage": 4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 38.733333333333334,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 55.91777777777777,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.5555555555555554,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 64.83333333333333,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.458610998083333,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.509454444853947,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6568357026444112,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.37728937728938,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 54.63333333333334,
"surface_matches_ratio": 9.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -37.727551020408164,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 145,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 88,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17066666666666674,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.496,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.024175824175822,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}