Justin Engel vs George Loffhagen
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
George Loffhagen
Justin …: 35,6% George …: 64,4%
¿Por qué George Loffhagen?
UTR 14,13 vs 14,42 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Justin … George … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 1,93 1,88 51,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,81 1,55 35,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Justin …: -6,8% George …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Justin Engel
Ranking #184
UTR Rating 14,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #320
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 18/36 = 50,0%
George Loffhagen
Ranking #212
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #197
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 10/15 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 29,0000
rank_ratio 1,1611
log_rank_ratio 0,1494
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 38,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,8684
surface_matches_ratio 2,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,1579
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,6848
first_serve_won_diff -3,8600
second_serve_won_diff -8,7383
bp_saved_diff 2,3289
bp_converted_diff -4,9417
aces_per_match_diff -3,0667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -36,8700
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 23,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 100,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6818
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 4,5723
serve_consistency_p2 8,1161
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,4896
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0290
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1957
elite_surface_amplifier -16,6667
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,7271
utr_p2 0,7553
utr_advantage -1,6783
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22604
API ID 15345377
Gamdom ID 589659
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22604,
    "api_id": 15345377,
    "gamdom_id": 589659,
    "player1": "Justin Engel",
    "player2": "George Loffhagen",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.93,
      "p2": 1.88
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 1.91
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3556,
    "prob_p2": 0.6444,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6444,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 184,
      "utr_singles": 14.13,
      "utr_ranking": 320,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 212,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 197,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.13,
      "ranking": 320,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 197,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7270588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.7552941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1611111111111112,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 38,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.3288888888888906,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": -1.6783216783216797,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 20,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.1493774010746007,
    "rank_advantage": 29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6818181818181818,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.666666666666657,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.94166666666667,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.684833333333344,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.0666666666666664,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.8600000000000136,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.572270413584736,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.116084774871608,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.4896233512433437,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.73833333333333,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -36.870000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -16.666666666666657,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 100,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.029000000000000026,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19566666666666654,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.868421052631577,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}