Justin Engel vs George Loffhagen
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
George Loffhagen
Justin …: 35,6%
George …: 64,4%
¿Por qué George Loffhagen?
UTR 14,13 vs 14,42
(-0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Justin … | George … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,93 | 1,88 | 51,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,81 | 1,55 | 35,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Justin …: -6,8%
George …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Justin Engel
Ranking
#184
UTR Rating
14,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#320
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
18/36 = 50,0%
George Loffhagen
Ranking
#212
UTR Rating
14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#197
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
10/15 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1611 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1494 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 38,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,8684 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,1579 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,6848 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,8600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,7383 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,3289 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,9417 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -36,8700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 23,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5723 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1161 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,4896 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0290 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1957 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -16,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7553 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,6783 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22604
API ID
15345377
Gamdom ID
589659
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22604,
"api_id": 15345377,
"gamdom_id": 589659,
"player1": "Justin Engel",
"player2": "George Loffhagen",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.93,
"p2": 1.88
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 1.91
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3556,
"prob_p2": 0.6444,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6444,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 184,
"utr_singles": 14.13,
"utr_ranking": 320,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 212,
"utr_singles": 14.42,
"utr_ranking": 197,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 320,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 197,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7552941176470588,
"utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.1611111111111112,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 38,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.3288888888888906,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -1.6783216783216797,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.1493774010746007,
"rank_advantage": 29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6818181818181818,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.666666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.94166666666667,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.684833333333344,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.0666666666666664,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.8600000000000136,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.572270413584736,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.116084774871608,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.4896233512433437,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.1578947368421,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.73833333333333,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -36.870000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -16.666666666666657,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 100,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.029000000000000026,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19566666666666654,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.868421052631577,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}