Martin Damm Jr vs Gauthier Onclin
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Martin …: 82,0% Gauthier …: 18,0%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Martin … Gauthier … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,0%
Gamdom 1,41 2,95 70,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,22 5,57 82,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Martin …: +11,1% Gauthier …: -11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking #177
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Hard 15/23 = 65,2%
Gauthier Onclin
Ranking #269
UTR Rating 14,17 Pro
UTR Ranking #299
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 6/17 = 35,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 93,0000
rank_ratio 1,5376
log_rank_ratio 0,4302
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 130,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 29,9233
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,5785
surface_matches_ratio 1,3529
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,2174
surface_wr_p2 35,2941
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,9630
surface_wr_p2_stable 38,0952
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3043
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,6667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 32,7967
first_serve_won_diff 15,4322
second_serve_won_diff 8,1202
bp_saved_diff 5,6593
bp_converted_diff -7,7512
aces_per_match_diff 11,3223
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 39,4000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 137,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,5625
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9231
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 2,6267
serve_consistency_p2 7,9163
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12,8731
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0592
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0541
elite_surface_amplifier 29,9233
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7224
utr_p2 0,7224
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22605
API ID 15345414
Gamdom ID 589641
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22605,
    "api_id": 15345414,
    "gamdom_id": 589641,
    "player1": "Martin Damm Jr",
    "player2": "Gauthier Onclin",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3333333333333333,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.74
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8204,
    "prob_p2": 0.1796,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8204,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 177,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 269,
      "utr_singles": 14.17,
      "utr_ranking": 299,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.294117647058826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.17,
      "ranking": 299,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7223529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5375722543352601,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 130,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.65933503836316,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.21739130434783,
    "surface_wr_p2": 35.294117647058826,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.43020471428392015,
    "rank_advantage": 93,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 29.923273657289002,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.751150895140661,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 32.79667519181585,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5625,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9230769230769231,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 11.32225063938619,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 15.432225063938617,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.6266695919686667,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.916345351488161,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 12.87313339417357,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.96296296296296,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.095238095238095,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 8.120204603580568,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3529411764705883,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 39.400000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 29.923273657289002,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 137,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0591739130434783,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05405882352941177,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.57848324514991,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}