Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Gonzalo Bueno
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz …: 91,9% Gonzalo …: 8,1%
¿Por qué Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikoloz … Gonzalo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 5,00 85,7%
Gamdom 1,21 4,50 82,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,09 12,29 91,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Nikoloz …: +10,8% Gonzalo …: -10,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Ranking #105
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #162
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 21/33 = 63,6%
Gonzalo Bueno
Ranking #215
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 107,0000
rank_ratio 2,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,6931
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 302,0000
best_rank_diff 189,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 63,6364
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,7119
surface_matches_ratio 33,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,6364
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,1622
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,4516
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2727
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 63,8200
first_serve_won_diff 70,0697
second_serve_won_diff 55,7485
bp_saved_diff 62,8576
bp_converted_diff 41,5152
aces_per_match_diff 6,0303
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,9050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 61,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7660
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,3903
serve_consistency_p2 7,4502
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 44,1094
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0294
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3930
elite_surface_amplifier 63,6364
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7800
utr_p2 0,7800
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22606
API ID 15345359
Gamdom ID 589678
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22606,
    "api_id": 15345359,
    "gamdom_id": 589678,
    "player1": "Nikoloz Basilashvili",
    "player2": "Gonzalo Bueno",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T04:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.35
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9186,
    "prob_p2": 0.0814,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9186,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 105,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 162,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 215,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 162,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 302,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 62.857575757575766,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.63636363636363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 189,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6931471805599453,
    "rank_advantage": 107,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 63.63636363636363,
    "bp_converted_diff": 41.515151515151516,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 63.81999999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7659574468085106,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.03030303030303,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 70.06969696969696,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.390281222508962,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.450154999475272,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 44.10936603563288,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.16216216216216,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.451612903225815,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 55.74848484848485,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 33.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.905000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 63.63636363636363,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02936363636363637,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.393,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.7118570183086255,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}