Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Gonzalo Bueno
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 08:35
12 Ene 2026, 08:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz …: 91,9%
Gonzalo …: 8,1%
¿Por qué Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nikoloz … | Gonzalo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 5,00 | 85,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,21 | 4,50 | 82,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,09 | 12,29 | 91,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nikoloz …: +10,8%
Gonzalo …: -10,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Ranking
#105
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#162
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/33 = 63,6%
Gonzalo Bueno
Ranking
#215
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 107,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 302,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 189,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 63,6364 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,7119 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 33,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,6364 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,1622 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,4516 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2727 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 63,8200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 70,0697 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 55,7485 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 62,8576 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 41,5152 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,0303 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,9050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 61,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7660 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,3903 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4502 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 44,1094 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0294 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3930 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 63,6364 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22606
API ID
15345359
Gamdom ID
589678
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22606,
"api_id": 15345359,
"gamdom_id": 589678,
"player1": "Nikoloz Basilashvili",
"player2": "Gonzalo Bueno",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T04:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 5.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.35
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9186,
"prob_p2": 0.0814,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9186,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 105,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 162,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 215,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.54,
"ranking": 162,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7800000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 302,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 62.857575757575766,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.63636363636363,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 189,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6931471805599453,
"rank_advantage": 107,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 63.63636363636363,
"bp_converted_diff": 41.515151515151516,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 63.81999999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7659574468085106,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.03030303030303,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 70.06969696969696,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.390281222508962,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.450154999475272,
"surface_rank_synergy": 44.10936603563288,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.16216216216216,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.451612903225815,
"second_serve_won_diff": 55.74848484848485,
"surface_matches_ratio": 33.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.905000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 63.63636363636363,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02936363636363637,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.393,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.7118570183086255,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}