Philip Sekulic vs Marco Trungelliti
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marco Trungelliti
Philip …: 26,1% Marco …: 73,9%
¿Por qué Marco Trungelliti?
UTR 13,82 vs 14,48 — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Philip … Marco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,28 1,63 43,9%
IA Fair Odds 3,83 1,35 26,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Philip …: -7,6% Marco …: +7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Philip Sekulic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #484
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking #130
UTR Rating 14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #180
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/9 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -370,0000
rank_ratio 0,2600
log_rank_ratio -1,3471
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -468,0000
best_rank_diff -388,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -44,4444
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,8176
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,7289
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -61,4678
first_serve_won_diff -71,5889
second_serve_won_diff -61,1333
bp_saved_diff -64,3111
bp_converted_diff -22,1556
aces_per_match_diff -3,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,0540
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 71,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 2,3414
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 59,8699
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1300
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4256
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7635
utr_p2 0,7635
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22607
API ID 15345419
Gamdom ID 589669
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22607,
    "api_id": 15345419,
    "gamdom_id": 589669,
    "player1": "Philip Sekulic",
    "player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-12T02:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.28,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.45,
      "p2": 1.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2612,
    "prob_p2": 0.7388,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7388,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.82,
      "utr_ranking": 484,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 130,
      "utr_singles": 14.48,
      "utr_ranking": 180,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.82,
      "ranking": 484,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.48,
      "ranking": 180,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.26,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -468,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -64.3111111111111,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.3,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 48.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -388,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3470736479666092,
    "rank_advantage": -370,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -44.44444444444444,
    "bp_converted_diff": -22.155555555555555,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -61.467777777777776,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.6666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -71.58888888888889,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.341414183377036,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 59.86993990962707,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.72893772893773,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -61.13333333333334,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.054,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 71,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4255555555555556,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.8175824175824172,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}