Philip Sekulic vs Marco Trungelliti
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
12 Ene 2026, 06:15
12 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marco Trungelliti
Philip …: 26,1%
Marco …: 73,9%
¿Por qué Marco Trungelliti?
UTR 13,82 vs 14,48
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Philip … | Marco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,28 | 1,63 | 43,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,83 | 1,35 | 26,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Philip …: -7,6%
Marco …: +7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Philip Sekulic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#484
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#180
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/9 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -370,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2600 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3471 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -468,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -388,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,8176 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,7289 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -61,4678 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -71,5889 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -61,1333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -64,3111 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -22,1556 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,0540 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 71,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,3414 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 59,8699 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1300 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4256 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22607
API ID
15345419
Gamdom ID
589669
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22607,
"api_id": 15345419,
"gamdom_id": 589669,
"player1": "Philip Sekulic",
"player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-12T02:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.28,
"p2": 1.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.45,
"p2": 1.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2612,
"prob_p2": 0.7388,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7388,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.82,
"utr_ranking": 484,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": 14.48,
"utr_ranking": 180,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.82,
"ranking": 484,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.48,
"ranking": 180,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.26,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -468,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -64.3111111111111,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.3,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 48.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -388,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3470736479666092,
"rank_advantage": -370,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -44.44444444444444,
"bp_converted_diff": -22.155555555555555,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -61.467777777777776,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.6666666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -71.58888888888889,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.341414183377036,
"surface_rank_synergy": 59.86993990962707,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.72893772893773,
"second_serve_won_diff": -61.13333333333334,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.054,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 71,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4255555555555556,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.8175824175824172,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}